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details? |
Necessary details Is the Harvard magnitude the final word on size? Does it include the ridges and fracture zones west, off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, and the Wasatch fault system to the east? I'm not clear from your description what are the eastern and western limits of your area. A public warning would be of questionable value, most earthquakes fulfilling these criteria would have a magnitude less than 6.0, and I suspect a large fraction are on the ridges and fracture zones, 100s of miles from land and people and injure no one. Helpful details Any idea how likely we are to get an earthquake M5.5 or bigger in this area in a month at random, and how likely you would estimate your prediction is to be fulfilled? Follow Ups: ● Offer in Compromise - John - Petra 17:40:44 - 2/23/2006 (34203) (1) ● Roger is good enough for me - John Vidale 22:38:51 - 2/23/2006 (34210) (1) ● This isn't an M7 prediction - John Vidale 22:45:09 - 2/23/2006 (34211) (1) ● Re: This isn't an M7 prediction - Petra 23:02:26 - 2/23/2006 (34213) (1) ● too complicated - John Vidale 23:15:30 - 2/23/2006 (34215) (1) ● Re: too complicated - Petra 23:48:41 - 2/23/2006 (34219) (1) ● do what you want - John Vidale 00:00:27 - 2/24/2006 (34220) (1) ● Re: do what you want - Petra 00:19:23 - 2/24/2006 (34222) (1) ● Petra, do you have reading problems - Roger Hunter 06:26:17 - 2/24/2006 (34224) (1) ● Re: Petra, do you have reading problems - marc / berkeley 07:43:05 - 2/24/2006 (34225) (1) ● Re: Petra, do you have reading problems Yes... My Apology .... And A Volcano - Petra 18:16:59 - 2/24/2006 (34260) (2) ● ok - John Vidale 09:14:18 - 2/25/2006 (34262) (0) ● Re: Petra, do you have reading problems Yes... My Apology .... And A Volcano - Roger Hunter 18:42:15 - 2/24/2006 (34261) (0) ● Re: details? - Petra 22:20:15 - 2/22/2006 (34149) (2) ● Re: details? - Russell 22:40:52 - 2/22/2006 (34152) (0) ● no details, not a specific prediction - John Vidale 22:27:30 - 2/22/2006 (34150) (2) ● Re: details? - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 05:33:19 - 2/23/2006 (34163) (1) ● Professional Evaluators??? - Petra 06:02:35 - 2/23/2006 (34165) (1) ● Re: Professional Evaluators??? - Russell 10:00:54 - 2/23/2006 (34170) (1) ● Re: um, I dunno about that... - marc / berkeley 12:31:21 - 2/23/2006 (34197) (1) ● Re: um, I dunno about that... - Don in Hollister 13:05:44 - 2/23/2006 (34200) (1) ● Re: um, I dunno about that... - Roger Hunter 20:47:12 - 2/23/2006 (34204) (1) ● Re: um, I dunno about that... - Don in Hollister 21:00:21 - 2/23/2006 (34205) (0) ● No comment, n/t - Petra 22:34:05 - 2/22/2006 (34151) (0) |
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