Posted by Don in Hollister on December 05, 2005 at 10:37:23:
Hi Barbara. A quake of M=6.8 more then likely won’t generate a tsunami. The “moment tensor solution” shows the quake occurred on a normal fault which means the first motion was down. That kind of quake can cause a tsunami if the quake is large enough. You may be interested in knowing that there is a potential for a tsunami at Lake Tahoe. “University of Nevada, Reno geologists have been modeling different quake scenarios for Lake Tahoe. According to their calculations, if a magnitude 7 quake struck either of two major faults under the lake, the bottom could open like a trapdoor, with a chunk of it suddenly dropping as much as 4 m. Just behind it would fall a huge, sinking slosh of water—generating a giant wave that would reach the surface, gather strength, and come barreling to shore as a tsunami.” “And that's just the beginning. The scientists think the tsunami, in turn, would create so-called seiche waves, mountainous waves that lurch from shore to shore for hours on end. "Think of the lake like a pan full of water. When you knock one end way down, the water surges and then sloshes back and forth for some time," says Gene A. Ichinose, a geophysics graduate student at Nevada-Reno and lead author of the group's study, which appeared in the April 15 Geophysical Research Letters. As in a jostled pan of water, some waves would likely splash past their usual borders—right into the homes and hotels that dot the Lake Tahoe shoreline.” The quake lists are 100 miles and 200 miles radius from the M=6.8 quake. http://www.seismo.unr.edu/htdocs/WGB/LakeTahoeTsunami/ catalog=ANSS start_time=1898/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=2005/12/05,18:07:09 minimum_magnitude=5.0 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 160 km from (-6.21,29.60) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1975/03/26 03:40:48.20 -5.4500 30.2070 33.00 5.10 Mb 41 0.00 NEI 197503264003 1976/01/19 08:05:47.90 -5.4620 28.7360 33.00 5.20 Mb 6 0.00 NEI 197601194007 1977/07/06 08:48:38.20 -6.1810 29.5390 33.00 5.10 Mb 105 0.00 NEI 197707064003 1986/06/29 21:47:59.67 -5.3360 29.5390 20.20 5.20 Mb 117 1.13 NEI 198606294051 1986/07/10 05:02:20.43 -5.5150 29.0190 10.00 5.00 Mb 6 1.50 NEI 198607104011 1997/09/21 18:13:22.78 -7.3600 30.3700 10.00 5.90 Me 196 1.08 NEI 199709211050 1998/03/28 21:59:56.17 -6.0240 29.5250 10.00 5.30 Mb 199 1.01 NEI 199803282042 2003/04/10 16:03:56.08 -5.5550 29.5070 10.00 5.10 Mw 107 0.81 NEI 200304104055 catalog=ANSS start_time=1898/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=2005/12/05,18:14:15 minimum_magnitude=5.0 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 320 km from (-6.21,29.60) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1969/05/22 21:15:56.70 -3.5570 28.9480 33.00 5.00 Mb 7 0.00 NEI 196905224008 1975/03/26 03:40:48.20 -5.4500 30.2070 33.00 5.10 Mb 41 0.00 NEI 197503264003 1975/09/21 09:22:04.00 -7.9070 31.6110 33.00 5.50 Mb 6 0.00 NEI 197509214010 1976/01/19 08:05:47.90 -5.4620 28.7360 33.00 5.20 Mb 6 0.00 NEI 197601194007 1976/08/29 00:30:10.50 -7.3860 30.8660 33.00 5.20 Mb 5 0.00 NEI 197608294001 1977/07/06 08:48:38.20 -6.1810 29.5390 33.00 5.10 Mb 105 0.00 NEI 197707064003 1978/01/29 21:41:36.70 -3.9290 29.3500 10.00 5.30 Mb 10 0.00 NEI 197801294020 1979/10/25 17:58:31.50 -3.4120 29.0700 33.00 5.20 Mb 14 0.00 NEI 197910254017 1982/07/03 23:21:12.07 -3.7370 28.9510 10.00 5.20 Mb 103 0.96 NEI 198207034017 1982/07/04 02:22:14.08 -3.7780 28.9170 10.00 5.00 Mb 85 1.01 NEI 198207044004 1983/07/07 20:35:38.15 -7.2710 27.8440 10.00 5.80 Mb 210 0.92 NEI 198307074025 1983/07/07 21:43:18.32 -7.4880 28.0140 10.00 5.00 Mb 53 0.75 NEI 198307074026 1983/07/12 22:34:40.00 -7.5680 27.9410 10.00 5.10 Mb 60 0.95 NEI 198307124028 1983/07/12 23:11:14.11 -7.5550 28.0000 10.00 5.10 Mb 76 1.00 NEI 198307124030 1984/01/11 18:40:29.62 -6.2390 27.8610 10.00 5.50 Mb 161 1.04 NEI 198401114026 1984/07/31 22:19:12.83 -7.6290 28.0210 10.00 5.00 Mb 56 0.58 NEI 198407314022 1985/02/23 14:45:35.94 -6.9660 30.9280 10.00 5.70 Mb 155 0.78 NEI 198502234028 1985/11/28 17:40:44.85 -8.6690 30.0020 10.00 5.10 Mb 60 0.93 NEI 198511284037 1986/06/29 21:47:59.67 -5.3360 29.5390 20.20 5.20 Mb 117 1.13 NEI 198606294051 1986/07/10 05:02:20.43 -5.5150 29.0190 10.00 5.00 Mb 6 1.50 NEI 198607104011 1989/02/09 23:49:16.16 -8.5480 29.8360 35.40 5.20 Mb 127 0.86 NEI 198902094029 1990/09/18 04:55:42.03 -4.0610 29.4830 10.00 5.00 Mb 60 0.99 NEI 199009184006 1992/09/23 14:52:27.64 -6.1630 26.7180 11.20 5.60 Mb 258 1.09 NEI 199209234048 1993/07/31 02:32:45.84 -4.3970 28.3610 10.00 5.00 Mb 76 0.72 NEI 199307314005 1994/08/18 00:45:47.20 -7.4330 31.7510 25.20 6.00 Mb 408 1.00 NEI 199408184001 1995/12/11 17:54:39.45 -6.2240 26.7140 10.00 5.70 Mw 291 0.86 NEI 199512114058 1997/09/21 18:13:22.78 -7.3600 30.3700 10.00 5.90 Me 196 1.08 NEI 199709211050 1998/03/28 21:59:56.17 -6.0240 29.5250 10.00 5.30 Mb 199 1.01 NEI 199803282042 1999/05/07 02:10:41.99 -7.5060 31.6050 10.00 5.20 Mb 185 0.67 NEI 199905074009 1999/05/07 14:07:28.74 -7.4910 31.6830 10.00 5.60 Mb 241 0.68 NEI 199905074039 2000/10/02 02:25:31.31 -7.9770 30.7090 34.00 6.50 Me 415 1.13 NEI 200010024002 2000/12/02 04:16:41.75 -7.1500 27.7500 10.00 5.00 Mb 98 0.86 NEI 200012024015 2002/02/20 19:07:17.10 -7.6790 31.8950 38.50 5.50 Mw 247 0.74 NEI 200202204056 2003/04/10 16:03:56.08 -5.5550 29.5070 10.00 5.10 Mw 107 0.81 NEI 200304104055
Follow Ups:
● Re: Kenya / Congo earthquake - chris in suburbia 16:34:53 - 12/5/2005 (31563) (1)
● Re: Kenya / Congo earthquake - Don in Hollister 17:45:59 - 12/5/2005 (31567) (1)
● Re: Kenya / Congo earthquake - Don in Hollister 18:54:57 - 12/5/2005 (31572) (0)
● Re: Lake Tahoe - Barbara 11:07:03 - 12/5/2005 (31532) (0)
● Re: Lake Tahoe - Barbara 11:06:29 - 12/5/2005 (31531) (0)
● East Africa Quake News Report - Don in Hollister 10:49:42 - 12/5/2005 (31530) (0)
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