Chris,

I have read the posts below now. I believe that the prediction should be based on the energy of the seismic event. The larger the energy, the longer time available. If somebody wishes to predict 3,4 or 5 magnitude quakes, they should have a narrow window of time. If the magnitude is much larger, as I did here earlier this year (Alaska 7+), I feel that should be granted more latitude. The larger quakes are rare, and are very hard to predict. Also, the larger the quake, the input for the basis must be greater. I like mr rabbits idea of basis being given... that is fundumental. I also think there should be a "post mortem"
on all quake predictions, irregardless of the authorship. I will give example in next post.

Sincerely,
glen