Posted by Don in Hollister on February 10, 2005 at 23:54:46:
Hi All. I have often wondered if a swarm of small quakes was an indication of a much larger quake to occur. I did a little search of areas where we don’t see quakes all that often just to see what I could find. As far as I can tell there is no reliable way of telling if one quake is the main event or a foreshock. However a quake swarm might be an indication that a much larger quake is on the way. A swarm doesn’t always mean that a much larger event is on the way, but it is an area to watch. About 20 hours prior to the Hector Mine quake there was a small swarm of quakes. I did a search of the area and found that there had never been a swarm in that area before. As a matter of fact quakes were far and few between. I felt that there could very well be a larger quake on the way, but never thought it would be as big as it was. I did a search on some areas in and around the Bay Area to see what I could find in the way of activity before a large quake. Two areas in particular have always intrigued me. They are the quake swarm in area of Petaluma, California, and the area of Mount Lewis, which is located just to the east of San Jose, California. This catalog is for the Mount Lewis quake. The radius on this search is one mile. I started the search in 1976 and ended it with the M>5.7 quake. The radius for this search was one mile. catalog=ANSS start_time=1976/03/31,00:00:00 end_time=1986/03/31,12:00:00 minimum_magnitude=0.1 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 1.6 km from (37.4788,-121.6858) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1976/04/04 19:57:53.85 37.4827 -121.6870 8.37 1.17 Md 10 118 11 0.03 NC -1029335 1976/06/30 16:46:18.81 37.4840 -121.6922 8.05 2.10 Md 28 116 10 0.06 NC -1030280 1976/07/01 06:02:32.35 37.4828 -121.6955 7.50 2.13 Md 29 114 10 0.06 NC -1030290 1976/07/02 01:35:41.66 37.4852 -121.6898 8.71 1.72 Md 17 117 10 0.03 NC -1030299 1976/10/18 14:49:27.35 37.4847 -121.6828 7.38 1.40 Md 14 165 11 0.03 NC -1031947 1977/01/01 01:44:51.51 37.4910 -121.6777 7.30 2.08 Md 18 125 12 0.05 NC -1033053 1977/05/21 04:40:37.84 37.4812 -121.6882 5.40 1.31 Md 16 118 10 0.07 NC -1035218 1978/07/20 01:03:45.26 37.4858 -121.6803 7.78 1.22 Md 13 122 11 0.02 NC -1041130 1978/08/30 21:59:36.09 37.4880 -121.6902 6.14 1.53 Md 15 117 11 0.03 NC -1041992 1978/12/19 14:44:57.13 37.4885 -121.6870 8.49 0.95 Md 7 118 11 0.01 NC -1043810 1980/07/31 06:42:32.98 37.4710 -121.6923 1.90 1.06 Md 20 59 4 0.05 NC -1054728 1981/07/13 23:42:26.96 37.4880 -121.6895 6.53 2.08 Md 21 56 3 0.07 NC -1065538 1982/01/27 05:05:13.59 37.4700 -121.6995 5.83 1.57 Md 47 38 11 0.11 NC -1071588 1982/01/28 15:38:56.71 37.4715 -121.6908 5.04 2.52 Md 61 39 11 0.10 NC -1071636 1982/02/03 23:54:25.27 37.4845 -121.6698 5.82 1.05 Md 9 111 2 0.07 NC -1071805 1983/03/11 18:04:38.13 37.4870 -121.6800 5.20 0.96 Md 14 67 9 0.03 NC -1089029 1983/06/17 22:50:33.62 37.4878 -121.6937 6.78 2.33 Md 58 63 4 0.07 NC -1097054 1983/06/20 09:34:18.12 37.4882 -121.6917 7.00 0.85 Md 6 102 4 0.01 NC -1097211 1983/07/01 23:02:28.74 37.4898 -121.6875 7.90 1.94 Md 25 96 9 0.08 NC -1097895 1984/05/01 07:44:26.41 37.4732 -121.6793 5.57 0.40 Md 9 81 10 0.01 NC 17337 1984/05/01 23:32:47.36 37.4658 -121.6935 4.06 0.88 Md 10 65 4 0.03 NC 17247 1984/05/01 23:38:53.46 37.4683 -121.6942 2.84 1.79 Md 35 32 4 0.05 NC 17248 1984/06/22 16:10:59.67 37.4708 -121.6945 3.68 1.28 Md 9 72 4 0.01 NC 21340 1984/06/24 16:41:10.44 37.4662 -121.6895 4.93 0.82 Md 7 192 3 0.01 NC 21471 1984/07/03 06:48:51.08 37.4742 -121.6860 9.19 0.93 Md 12 120 3 0.02 NC 21995 1984/07/05 12:35:30.60 37.4853 -121.6945 8.74 0.56 Md 7 112 4 0.01 NC 22143 1984/07/11 00:28:21.05 37.4700 -121.6948 4.01 1.08 Md 14 52 4 0.02 NC 22503 1984/07/11 04:39:46.78 37.4680 -121.6952 3.91 0.83 Md 11 55 4 0.03 NC 22518 1984/07/11 10:40:49.41 37.4678 -121.6947 3.98 0.92 Md 13 54 4 0.03 NC 22528 1984/07/24 10:41:45.80 37.4745 -121.6935 3.67 0.84 Md 12 70 4 0.03 NC 23790 1984/07/24 10:44:34.60 37.4748 -121.6942 3.57 0.86 Md 13 70 4 0.03 NC 23791 1984/07/28 15:28:00.18 37.4797 -121.6687 9.45 0.83 Md 13 61 1 0.02 NC 24614 1984/08/27 10:36:48.68 37.4837 -121.7000 2.86 0.40 Md 8 113 4 0.02 NC 26350 1984/08/29 16:56:01.53 37.4867 -121.6947 8.69 0.83 Md 9 115 9 0.01 NC 26766 1984/09/01 22:53:41.59 37.4752 -121.6988 8.06 0.79 Md 8 202 4 0.02 NC 26944 1984/09/02 20:54:29.32 37.4847 -121.6907 6.78 0.83 Md 18 61 3 0.04 NC 27026 1984/10/11 06:30:27.70 37.4843 -121.6970 9.20 0.89 Md 19 54 4 0.02 NC 29838 1984/10/31 03:58:54.94 37.4900 -121.6933 6.81 2.04 Md 61 39 4 0.04 NC 30999 1984/11/04 08:00:05.40 37.4855 -121.6968 9.09 1.09 Md 18 57 4 0.02 NC 31240 1984/11/04 08:25:29.68 37.4847 -121.6970 9.18 0.84 Md 17 61 4 0.02 NC 31241 1984/12/02 06:43:03.60 37.4857 -121.6958 8.87 0.40 Md 9 112 4 0.02 NC 33066 1984/12/08 16:51:36.42 37.4870 -121.6967 9.35 0.83 Md 10 111 9 0.02 NC 33657 1984/12/17 04:40:43.13 37.4873 -121.6970 9.05 0.80 Md 12 88 4 0.02 NC 34549 1984/12/17 19:20:24.26 37.4882 -121.6915 6.51 0.91 Md 12 88 4 0.02 NC 34605 1985/04/15 22:37:59.71 37.4867 -121.6905 7.24 0.71 Md 5 111 3 0.02 NC -1127395 1985/05/02 08:30:19.34 37.4855 -121.6915 5.95 1.22 Md 25 60 4 0.03 NC 47070 1985/05/11 03:56:15.14 37.4867 -121.6903 7.25 0.89 Md 20 60 3 0.02 NC 47830 1985/06/05 20:37:52.80 37.4860 -121.6912 7.23 2.40 Md 62 39 4 0.04 NC 49046 1985/06/29 08:17:42.56 37.4850 -121.6902 7.44 0.95 Md 10 93 9 0.01 NC 50401 1985/07/12 22:57:00.66 37.4683 -121.6908 5.63 1.45 Md 26 39 10 0.04 NC 51020 1985/07/16 17:40:51.25 37.4838 -121.6728 8.45 0.95 Md 10 99 9 0.02 NC 51229 1985/08/01 00:20:20.18 37.4848 -121.6895 7.58 0.73 Md 6 112 3 0.02 NC -1130169 1985/09/24 05:10:00.47 37.4855 -121.6865 8.37 1.51 Md 33 40 3 0.03 NC 55698 1985/09/24 05:10:15.70 37.4858 -121.6865 8.35 1.21 Md 20 60 3 0.02 NC 55729 1985/09/24 05:24:30.75 37.4857 -121.6860 8.84 0.90 Md 13 63 3 0.01 NC 55700 1985/09/24 06:57:28.22 37.4857 -121.6867 8.78 0.82 Md 10 111 3 0.02 NC 55702 1985/09/24 07:19:55.87 37.4870 -121.6870 8.50 0.76 Md 12 66 3 0.02 NC 55705 1985/09/24 07:21:29.80 37.4882 -121.6873 9.65 3.46 Md 87 41 3 0.07 NC 55728 1985/09/24 07:25:08.63 37.4838 -121.6877 8.81 2.33 Md 71 40 3 0.05 NC 55706 1985/09/24 07:36:59.17 37.4865 -121.6855 8.13 0.87 Md 13 62 3 0.01 NC 55707 1985/09/24 07:44:41.74 37.4835 -121.6865 8.78 1.03 Md 17 59 3 0.02 NC 55708 1985/09/24 11:28:31.76 37.4835 -121.6845 7.86 0.71 Md 5 113 9 0.01 NC -1131696 1985/09/24 16:07:02.71 37.4877 -121.6867 8.59 0.98 Md 16 66 3 0.02 NC 55721 1985/09/24 18:11:21.39 37.4840 -121.6887 8.59 1.00 Md 12 65 3 0.02 NC 55758 1985/09/24 19:27:57.33 37.4870 -121.6877 8.31 1.00 Md 11 66 3 0.01 NC 55765 1985/09/24 20:07:40.72 37.4842 -121.6872 8.15 1.68 Md 39 40 3 0.03 NC 55767 1985/09/25 21:33:43.35 37.4825 -121.6858 8.48 1.20 Md 16 57 3 0.02 NC 55811 1985/10/05 10:24:00.76 37.4833 -121.6868 8.87 1.58 Md 47 41 3 0.04 NC 56365 1985/10/05 18:40:01.13 37.4818 -121.6872 8.58 1.05 Md 10 61 3 0.02 NC 56255 1985/10/08 06:39:21.26 37.4845 -121.6863 9.08 1.17 Md 21 47 3 0.02 NC 56473 1985/10/08 15:34:18.44 37.4822 -121.6862 9.19 0.93 Md 13 68 3 0.01 NC 56435 1985/10/09 09:36:21.99 37.4828 -121.6857 8.59 1.32 Md 42 41 3 0.03 NC 56542 1985/10/10 06:00:42.08 37.4748 -121.6703 8.78 2.06 Md 74 39 2 0.04 NC 56598 1985/10/12 16:18:52.31 37.4815 -121.6867 8.27 0.63 Md 5 209 9 0.01 NC -1132200 1985/10/17 12:16:04.18 37.4842 -121.6842 7.97 1.05 Md 20 61 3 0.02 NC 57137 1985/10/21 22:39:55.95 37.4817 -121.6870 9.13 0.96 Md 18 55 3 0.02 NC 57434 1985/10/26 15:25:42.44 37.4835 -121.6858 8.56 0.89 Md 13 67 3 0.02 NC 57692 1985/10/29 21:12:57.59 37.4835 -121.6845 8.32 0.71 Md 4 136 9 0.00 NC -1132594 1985/10/30 01:46:05.66 37.4873 -121.6873 8.46 1.21 Md 17 65 3 0.02 NC 57916 1985/10/30 08:58:55.06 37.4837 -121.6865 8.53 0.95 Md 12 60 3 0.02 NC 57931 1985/11/05 20:16:18.39 37.4773 -121.6702 10.71 1.30 Md 8 127 10 0.05 NC 58381 1985/11/18 12:18:49.05 37.4678 -121.6842 8.17 1.09 Md 8 75 3 0.01 NC 59351 1985/11/18 12:33:38.38 37.4675 -121.6863 8.53 0.97 Md 20 54 3 0.03 NC 59480 1985/11/20 11:35:24.84 37.4792 -121.6862 9.17 1.23 Md 40 40 3 0.02 NC 59496 1985/11/20 11:40:31.21 37.4790 -121.6847 9.02 0.83 Md 18 47 3 0.02 NC 59498 1985/11/23 17:25:48.45 37.4773 -121.6862 8.98 1.45 Md 43 40 3 0.03 NC 59758 1985/11/25 17:32:07.40 37.4842 -121.6917 8.63 1.08 Md 12 93 9 0.02 NC 59873 1985/12/02 06:45:04.32 37.4835 -121.6863 9.09 1.21 Md 20 59 3 0.02 NC 60312 1985/12/03 14:11:19.70 37.4827 -121.6875 8.75 0.74 Md 12 105 3 0.02 NC 60477 1985/12/03 21:59:03.55 37.4830 -121.6858 8.39 0.77 Md 4 135 9 0.00 NC -1133487 1985/12/09 19:24:45.13 37.4817 -121.6863 9.46 1.19 Md 25 47 3 0.03 NC 60983 1985/12/17 19:51:35.34 37.4880 -121.6865 8.74 0.71 Md 5 109 3 0.00 NC -1133950 1985/12/30 11:55:01.02 37.4797 -121.6850 7.44 1.00 Md 11 120 10 0.02 NC 62457 1986/01/03 01:13:57.90 37.4783 -121.6932 7.09 1.06 Md 12 115 10 0.02 NC 62648 1986/01/03 21:55:12.89 37.4852 -121.6895 8.72 1.05 Md 19 64 3 0.02 NC 62843 1986/01/09 11:09:55.98 37.4862 -121.6903 7.70 1.76 Md 57 64 3 0.04 NC 63170 1986/01/14 21:31:48.07 37.4860 -121.6900 7.74 1.04 Md 17 85 3 0.03 NC 63547 1986/02/01 10:39:09.53 37.4863 -121.6862 8.08 1.27 Md 25 65 9 0.02 NC 65258 1986/02/11 02:25:51.06 37.4812 -121.6992 8.75 1.30 Md 9 115 10 0.02 NC 66119 1986/02/12 18:57:25.29 37.4818 -121.6758 6.35 1.02 Md 12 125 9 0.02 NC 66378 1986/02/13 14:44:18.70 37.4735 -121.6713 1.51 0.60 Md 7 246 10 0.06 NC 66412 1986/03/06 19:21:10.00 37.4708 -121.6748 6.70 0.76 Md 7 98 11 0.01 NC -1136483 1986/03/20 15:42:57.08 37.4752 -121.6860 8.14 1.49 Md 34 52 3 0.04 NC 68396 1986/03/22 18:26:01.64 37.4762 -121.6832 7.78 0.74 Md 4 136 10 0.00 NC -1136798 1986/03/23 01:37:24.96 37.4842 -121.6857 8.55 1.05 Md 21 61 3 0.02 NC 68536 1986/03/24 01:44:48.51 37.4827 -121.6857 9.17 1.27 Md 28 58 3 0.03 NC 68598 1986/03/24 01:46:04.92 37.4813 -121.6868 9.28 1.33 Md 29 54 3 0.02 NC 68599 1986/03/24 01:46:22.04 37.4808 -121.6867 9.13 1.21 Md 20 54 3 0.02 NC 68656 1986/03/24 01:54:41.43 37.4802 -121.6862 9.41 2.81 Md 77 40 3 0.05 NC 68600 1986/03/24 02:14:38.26 37.4812 -121.6862 9.09 1.18 Md 18 94 9 0.02 NC 68601 1986/03/24 02:26:21.73 37.4823 -121.6877 8.99 2.49 Md 74 41 3 0.04 NC 68602 1986/03/24 02:50:15.10 37.4832 -121.6865 8.70 0.95 Md 17 94 9 0.02 NC 68603 1986/03/24 02:52:05.67 37.4827 -121.6862 8.97 1.19 Md 18 58 3 0.02 NC 68604 1986/03/24 03:39:39.56 37.4778 -121.6867 9.20 0.94 Md 12 94 10 0.01 NC 68812 1986/03/24 05:06:00.49 37.4807 -121.6865 8.87 1.56 Md 42 53 3 0.03 NC 68607 1986/03/24 06:29:07.87 37.4777 -121.6865 8.60 1.72 Md 54 40 3 0.04 NC 68611 1986/03/25 03:16:25.06 37.4823 -121.6857 8.76 1.07 Md 14 57 3 0.01 NC 68665 1986/03/31 04:04:59.86 37.4792 -121.6880 8.90 2.55 Md 74 65 3 0.05 NC 68948 1986/03/31 11:55:39.80 37.4788 -121.6858 9.17 5.70 ML 84 65 3 0.06 NC 68932 This catalog search is in the area of Petaluma. The radius on this search is one mile. As you can see it is almost identical to the Mount Lewis quake, but in this case there was no large quake. catalog=ANSS start_time=1981/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=1986/03/31,12:00:00 minimum_magnitude=0.1 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 1.6 km from (38.2962,-122.6122) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1981/12/13 11:32:32.33 38.3012 -122.6085 8.88 2.36 Md 26 51 11 0.06 NC -1070277 1981/12/18 14:41:44.77 38.3008 -122.6105 8.70 3.42 Md 36 49 11 0.09 NC -1070433 1981/12/18 17:30:06.59 38.2985 -122.6078 6.81 2.10 Md 13 69 6 0.13 NC -1070438 1981/12/20 07:40:56.29 38.3050 -122.6180 4.15 2.54 Md 23 49 8 0.16 NC -1070476 1981/12/20 07:41:49.69 38.3027 -122.6172 9.91 3.45 Md 42 47 11 0.14 NC -1070477 1981/12/20 07:43:57.45 38.3020 -122.6093 6.01 2.26 Md 21 76 7 0.10 NC -1070478 1981/12/20 09:21:03.45 38.2970 -122.6110 0.49 1.48 Md 6 89 7 0.06 NC -1070480 1981/12/20 10:25:29.95 38.3003 -122.6133 6.89 2.97 Md 40 50 7 0.14 NC -1070484 1981/12/20 10:31:03.84 38.3028 -122.6123 2.75 1.20 Md 4 142 7 0.00 NC -1070486 1981/12/20 13:45:12.75 38.2987 -122.6112 0.36 1.40 Md 9 79 7 0.06 NC -1070492 1981/12/20 15:29:55.88 38.3002 -122.6092 7.62 3.12 Md 45 49 7 0.15 NC -1070496 1981/12/20 15:42:33.10 38.2988 -122.6130 0.84 1.21 Md 6 90 7 0.02 NC -1070497 1981/12/20 18:16:53.15 38.2980 -122.6085 1.70 1.48 Md 6 90 7 0.01 NC -1070503 1981/12/20 23:33:24.81 38.2910 -122.6182 0.04 2.50 Md 20 56 7 0.14 NC -1070509 1981/12/20 23:59:52.06 38.2940 -122.6165 0.03 1.78 Md 8 87 7 0.04 NC -1070510 1981/12/21 02:55:47.97 38.2962 -122.6162 0.03 1.80 Md 8 87 7 0.11 NC -1070517 1981/12/21 07:13:30.18 38.3045 -122.6113 0.83 1.26 Md 6 76 7 0.04 NC -1070524 1981/12/21 08:08:56.19 38.3043 -122.6097 0.70 1.60 Md 5 117 7 0.01 NC -1070525 1981/12/21 12:33:49.70 38.2987 -122.6122 2.41 1.33 Md 7 81 7 0.03 NC -1070529 1981/12/23 05:14:20.37 38.2958 -122.6107 1.44 1.24 Md 9 81 7 0.05 NC -1070560 1981/12/24 07:49:43.25 38.2998 -122.6113 2.75 1.51 Md 5 148 7 0.04 NC -1070603 1981/12/24 08:49:43.13 38.3063 -122.6082 2.52 1.57 Md 4 115 17 0.05 NC -1070604 1981/12/27 21:45:44.91 38.2972 -122.6120 1.30 1.51 Md 7 92 7 0.02 NC -1070727 1981/12/27 23:43:28.47 38.2948 -122.6138 2.79 1.50 Md 8 123 7 0.05 NC -1070734 1982/01/06 08:14:42.53 38.3048 -122.6107 5.35 1.85 Md 18 68 7 0.16 NC -1071002 1982/01/06 18:23:22.35 38.3018 -122.6000 6.00 2.13 Md 13 80 6 0.08 NC -1071018 1982/01/09 11:04:02.75 38.3018 -122.6140 0.03 1.61 Md 16 78 7 0.12 NC -1071084 1982/01/09 11:09:17.01 38.3038 -122.6063 0.27 1.33 Md 10 76 7 0.02 NC -1071085 1982/01/10 01:35:42.37 38.3027 -122.6143 6.21 2.37 Md 34 35 7 0.15 NC -1071101 1982/01/10 02:41:37.23 38.3003 -122.6083 4.97 1.62 Md 15 79 7 0.10 NC -1071102 1982/01/10 06:06:07.35 38.2973 -122.6080 6.47 2.23 Md 29 57 6 0.11 NC -1071109 1982/01/10 12:49:52.15 38.3065 -122.6137 0.02 1.09 Md 6 95 7 0.08 NC -1071123 1982/01/14 11:37:52.15 38.3012 -122.6157 3.62 1.21 Md 6 91 7 0.03 NC -1071254 1982/04/16 01:35:03.31 38.3017 -122.6068 3.45 1.28 Md 7 132 7 0.05 NC -1073767 1982/05/05 08:27:51.38 38.2948 -122.6053 6.65 2.43 Md 29 75 6 0.14 NC -1074181 This search is the area around the 1989 Loma Prieta quake. The radius on the search is 7.5 miles. The current theory about this quake is that the 2 M>5.0+ plus quakes loosened the fault up enough for the fault to move. catalog=ANSS start_time=1988/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=1989/10/21,00:00:00 minimum_magnitude=0.1 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 12 km from (37.0632,-121.8802) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1988/01/21 14:06:42.12 37.0972 -121.8920 10.03 1.31 Md 13 109 5 0.06 NC 111212 1988/03/15 04:37:51.60 37.0218 -121.7775 0.64 0.31 Md 4 214 4 0.00 NC -1155523 1988/04/02 04:07:01.22 37.0595 -121.7485 12.79 0.70 Md 12 116 2 0.03 NC 114985 1988/04/16 06:48:26.39 37.1202 -121.8573 9.99 0.72 Md 15 61 2 0.02 NC 115744 1988/04/17 08:35:28.54 37.1328 -121.9090 12.37 0.76 Md 11 76 5 0.04 NC 115777 1988/04/21 20:07:35.53 37.1330 -121.9087 11.96 0.87 Md 12 97 5 0.05 NC 116035 1988/04/25 12:15:03.52 37.0660 -121.8627 15.59 0.98 Md 14 108 5 0.05 NC 116186 1988/05/14 18:27:07.56 37.1538 -121.8222 5.21 0.77 Md 11 95 2 0.04 NC 117194 1988/05/28 11:12:19.52 37.1357 -121.8503 7.78 0.70 Md 9 114 2 0.05 NC 118086 1988/05/28 11:35:59.62 37.1413 -121.9122 10.47 0.72 Md 11 83 4 0.03 NC 118087 1988/06/06 18:43:38.51 37.1508 -121.9270 10.54 0.86 Md 10 84 2 0.04 NC 118458 1988/06/11 14:57:12.89 37.1400 -121.9027 12.53 0.98 Md 12 89 4 0.05 NC 118707 1988/06/12 20:25:00.58 37.1262 -121.9150 12.92 1.24 Md 13 66 5 0.03 NC 118798 1988/06/17 10:02:39.65 37.0680 -121.8995 15.58 0.65 Md 9 105 5 0.03 NC 119166 1988/06/18 06:32:10.08 37.0475 -121.8227 6.36 0.29 Md 4 186 1 0.00 NC -1156781 1988/06/20 14:28:18.96 37.1463 -121.9195 11.51 1.01 Md 21 49 3 0.08 NC 119303 1988/06/27 18:43:22.32 37.1268 -121.8962 13.15 5.30 ML 90 46 5 0.10 NC 10139668 1988/06/27 18:44:23.23 37.1380 -121.8997 11.42 2.92 Mx 18 70 5 0.03 NC 10087452 1988/06/27 18:53:59.84 37.1483 -121.9015 8.69 0.70 Md 6 142 4 0.03 NC 119658 1988/06/27 22:34:53.40 37.1543 -121.9145 9.21 1.25 Md 25 97 2 0.09 NC 119659 1988/06/29 22:43:24.08 37.1408 -121.9200 11.09 0.96 Md 11 98 3 0.03 NC 119713 1988/06/30 03:08:44.90 37.1243 -121.8845 11.01 2.35 Md 76 44 5 0.08 NC 119724 1988/07/05 21:04:34.57 37.1397 -121.9235 10.29 1.08 Md 8 86 3 0.02 NC 119958 1988/07/06 03:31:56.14 37.1480 -121.9070 11.08 1.14 Md 14 61 3 0.06 NC 119974 1988/07/06 09:01:55.44 37.1490 -121.9270 9.39 0.94 Md 12 70 2 0.04 NC 119981 1988/07/10 14:25:22.17 37.1383 -121.9175 11.43 1.67 Md 38 50 4 0.07 NC 120157 1988/08/21 17:05:19.21 37.1487 -121.9237 12.53 1.59 Md 41 49 2 0.08 NC 122646 1988/08/28 07:33:09.33 37.1123 -121.9902 11.85 0.78 Md 8 126 7 0.02 NC 122950 1988/08/28 17:13:26.52 37.1315 -121.8830 10.43 1.18 Md 27 44 4 0.05 NC 122966 1988/09/04 18:12:28.43 37.1340 -121.9200 13.30 1.16 Md 18 72 4 0.05 NC 123280 1988/09/05 16:22:17.35 37.1488 -121.9147 8.85 0.74 Md 9 91 3 0.04 NC 123381 1988/09/21 23:49:53.74 37.1163 -121.9090 9.06 0.82 Md 11 72 6 0.04 NC 124097 1988/09/22 13:31:34.46 37.1155 -121.9173 9.87 0.50 Md 6 141 6 0.06 NC 124142 1988/10/10 16:02:05.20 37.1230 -121.8775 11.24 1.60 Md 42 43 4 0.08 NC 125255 1988/10/22 10:49:10.84 37.1277 -121.9137 13.87 1.02 Md 17 71 5 0.05 NC 126401 1988/10/23 14:50:23.62 37.1348 -121.9088 9.63 0.58 Md 7 127 4 0.04 NC 125687 1988/11/03 00:07:28.06 37.0415 -121.8007 5.57 0.45 Md 5 138 1 0.01 NC -1159291 1988/11/12 07:21:36.10 37.1370 -121.8998 11.31 0.79 Md 6 101 5 0.01 NC 126887 1988/11/14 00:21:31.06 37.0708 -121.8642 5.00 0.50 Md 4 196 5 0.01 NC -1159470 1988/11/22 13:09:50.49 37.1462 -121.9093 11.90 0.87 Md 19 63 3 0.06 NC 127452 1988/12/10 19:24:54.27 37.1188 -121.8827 11.99 1.14 Md 14 79 4 0.05 NC 128457 1988/12/28 09:22:54.78 37.1550 -121.9230 9.23 0.61 Md 8 116 2 0.05 NC 129303 1988/12/31 23:11:31.54 37.0177 -121.8677 4.78 0.70 Md 11 140 2 0.03 NC 129447 1989/02/17 12:13:26.01 37.1245 -121.7740 10.51 0.74 Md 12 51 6 0.03 NC 131492 1989/03/13 02:30:54.09 37.1440 -121.9003 12.21 1.00 Md 12 101 4 0.04 NC 132758 1989/03/16 02:26:19.30 37.1263 -121.7720 10.44 0.75 Md 10 136 7 0.04 NC 132896 1989/03/19 03:24:01.47 37.1245 -121.7733 10.68 0.90 Md 12 51 6 0.03 NC 133028 1989/03/22 12:44:11.33 37.1252 -121.7708 10.14 0.84 Md 14 48 6 0.05 NC 133243 1989/03/27 14:11:44.16 37.1252 -121.7748 10.81 0.78 Md 18 48 6 0.04 NC 133522 1989/04/06 04:39:43.01 37.1242 -121.8787 11.20 0.67 Md 10 93 4 0.03 NC 134032 1989/04/09 07:47:12.01 37.1263 -121.7725 9.90 0.84 Md 14 49 6 0.05 NC 134204 1989/04/19 12:50:53.31 37.1270 -121.7740 10.20 0.75 Md 12 49 6 0.03 NC 134819 1989/05/22 12:39:06.01 37.1553 -121.9318 10.94 1.16 Md 25 50 2 0.07 NC 136558 1989/05/23 14:00:21.06 37.0020 -121.8073 14.61 1.15 Md 21 79 2 0.05 NC 136668 1989/06/06 01:09:41.30 37.1077 -121.8375 10.07 1.17 Md 25 57 0 0.04 NC 137502 1989/06/27 05:41:27.38 37.0340 -121.8035 13.96 0.92 Md 19 57 2 0.04 NC 138955 1989/06/28 05:06:12.29 37.0325 -121.8067 14.24 0.86 Md 14 71 2 0.03 NC 139023 1989/06/29 14:31:46.50 37.0320 -121.8053 14.15 1.43 Md 31 41 2 0.06 NC 139110 1989/07/04 07:55:28.85 37.1367 -121.9022 10.14 0.70 Md 8 106 5 0.02 NC 139405 1989/07/11 00:41:42.34 37.0342 -121.8178 8.72 0.53 Md 12 77 2 0.17 NC 139748 1989/07/15 23:22:29.81 37.0327 -121.8043 13.85 0.83 Md 20 57 2 0.04 NC 140088 1989/07/22 09:22:15.35 37.0697 -121.8575 5.45 0.30 Md 8 162 5 0.02 NC 140521 1989/07/28 01:16:53.27 37.1195 -121.8972 11.02 0.84 Md 12 71 6 0.06 NC 140977 1989/08/07 17:40:34.17 37.1543 -121.9278 12.14 1.00 Md 25 54 2 0.06 NC 141703 1989/08/08 08:13:27.36 37.1458 -121.9282 14.23 5.40 ML 87 51 3 0.10 NC 10089897 1989/08/08 08:44:09.66 37.1430 -121.9257 13.41 4.30 ML 92 51 3 0.10 NC 10089900 1989/08/08 08:48:33.05 37.1532 -121.9240 12.25 1.01 Md 21 49 2 0.06 NC 141956 1989/08/08 08:52:34.33 37.1498 -121.9208 11.95 1.22 Md 34 49 2 0.08 NC 141923 1989/08/08 08:57:51.90 37.1505 -121.9162 12.19 1.09 Md 34 48 3 0.08 NC 141782 1989/08/08 08:59:03.57 37.1492 -121.9202 11.74 1.13 Md 30 49 2 0.09 NC 141799 1989/08/08 12:30:52.45 37.1570 -121.9385 13.33 2.16 Md 74 51 2 0.07 NC 141858 1989/08/08 13:09:13.52 37.1492 -121.9215 11.79 2.09 Md 56 49 2 0.08 NC 141960 1989/08/08 15:25:43.71 37.1585 -121.9392 12.96 1.41 Md 38 51 1 0.05 NC 141966 1989/08/09 02:12:05.68 37.1580 -121.9185 12.95 0.85 Md 10 105 2 0.07 NC 141852 1989/08/09 06:42:24.91 37.1578 -121.9375 13.10 1.39 Md 42 51 1 0.07 NC 141895 1989/08/09 15:10:17.40 37.1513 -121.9352 12.30 1.01 Md 20 51 2 0.06 NC 141902 1989/08/09 16:44:20.50 37.1442 -121.9308 12.31 2.43 Md 65 52 3 0.09 NC 142045 1989/08/09 16:46:17.33 37.1557 -121.9375 11.04 0.92 Md 12 116 2 0.06 NC 142078 1989/08/09 17:43:53.86 37.1503 -121.9342 11.87 0.46 Md 9 69 2 0.05 NC 141907 1989/08/09 19:28:57.04 37.1478 -121.9323 11.69 1.44 Md 38 51 2 0.07 NC 142047 1989/08/09 21:42:58.86 37.1572 -121.9345 13.48 1.75 Md 48 51 1 0.10 NC 141926 1989/08/10 00:30:35.10 37.1552 -121.9380 13.71 1.83 Md 50 51 2 0.06 NC 141932 1989/08/10 00:59:53.82 37.1540 -121.9402 12.07 1.83 Md 50 52 2 0.09 NC 141935 1989/08/14 02:40:50.58 37.1597 -121.8378 5.11 0.76 Md 12 92 1 0.02 NC 142193 1989/08/15 11:10:42.79 37.0675 -121.7507 11.45 0.73 Md 16 60 3 0.06 NC 142279 1989/08/20 16:55:32.53 37.1617 -121.8317 4.28 1.24 Md 22 71 2 0.07 NC 142634 1989/08/21 14:00:06.72 37.1570 -121.9293 12.00 1.00 Md 8 157 1 0.03 NC 142705 1989/08/22 19:00:00.49 37.1488 -121.9203 11.42 0.76 Md 9 100 3 0.04 NC 142775 1989/08/24 11:06:04.03 37.1395 -121.8870 14.10 0.90 Md 8 109 4 0.01 NC 142880 1989/08/30 03:52:25.53 37.1207 -121.9100 13.44 0.91 Md 20 52 6 0.05 NC 143286 1989/08/31 10:53:42.11 37.1235 -121.9217 15.59 0.90 Md 16 65 5 0.04 NC 143346 1989/09/03 23:13:14.46 37.1297 -121.8895 11.82 1.02 Md 22 52 5 0.07 NC 143524 1989/09/04 21:21:33.91 37.1565 -121.9405 13.76 1.58 Md 40 52 2 0.06 NC 143580 1989/09/07 11:45:47.49 37.0938 -121.9125 11.71 0.53 Md 12 131 7 0.03 NC 143703 1989/09/08 03:46:50.11 37.1592 -121.9397 14.68 2.07 Md 60 51 1 0.08 NC 143728 1989/09/09 09:14:17.11 37.1470 -121.9122 11.74 0.99 Md 23 48 3 0.07 NC 143789 1989/09/10 04:27:01.51 37.1472 -121.9170 11.81 0.84 Md 13 86 3 0.03 NC 143907 1989/09/11 11:16:16.10 37.1567 -121.9408 14.12 3.14 Md 82 52 2 0.08 NC 143914 1989/09/14 14:27:18.19 37.1535 -121.9127 10.88 0.81 Md 7 150 2 0.03 NC 144033 1989/09/26 21:31:41.81 37.1500 -121.9197 12.88 1.08 Md 19 85 2 0.06 NC 144654 1989/10/10 02:10:39.78 37.1275 -121.8917 12.51 1.27 Md 29 46 5 0.07 NC 145229 1989/10/18 00:04:15.20 37.0362 -121.8802 17.29 7.00 ML 79 91 1 0.08 NC 216859 This search is also for the Loma Prieta quake. The radius for this is 2.5 miles. As you can see there was no tight swarm in the area of the epicenter. catalog=ANSS start_time=1988/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=1989/10/18,00:05:00 minimum_magnitude=0.1 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 04 km from (37.0632,-121.8802) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1988/01/21 14:06:42.12 37.0972 -121.8920 10.03 1.31 Md 13 109 5 0.06 NC 111212 1988/04/25 12:15:03.52 37.0660 -121.8627 15.59 0.98 Md 14 108 5 0.05 NC 116186 1988/06/17 10:02:39.65 37.0680 -121.8995 15.58 0.65 Md 9 105 5 0.03 NC 119166 1988/11/14 00:21:31.06 37.0708 -121.8642 5.00 0.50 Md 4 196 5 0.01 NC -1159470 1989/07/22 09:22:15.35 37.0697 -121.8575 5.45 0.30 Md 8 162 5 0.02 NC 140521 1989/10/18 00:04:15.20 37.0362 -121.8802 17.29 7.00 ML 79 91 1 0.08 NC 216859 I’m not sure what I have learned from this search, but I do know that a tight swarm can be an indication that a larger quake is on the way. It doesn’t mean that there will be a large quake each and every time, but it is something to keep in mind. Take Care…Don in creepy town
Follow Ups:
● Japan Quake Swarms - Ara 02:27:47 - 2/11/2005 (24834) (2)
● Re: Japan Quake Swarms - Don in Hollister 11:48:33 - 2/11/2005 (24838) (0)
● Re: Japan Quake Swarms - Don in Hollister 03:23:15 - 2/11/2005 (24835) (1)
● Re: Japan Quake Swarms - Ara 02:10:08 - 2/12/2005 (24848) (1)
● 4.2M Quake Fails to Faze the Intrepid Ara - Ara 06:20:02 - 2/14/2005 (24876) (0)
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