Re: Is Southern California Going To Have A Major Quake Soon?
Posted by chris in suburbia on April 18, 2004 at 16:00:11:

Olsen and Archuleta and someone else published some papers a few years ago simulating 3D motion using the 3D geometry for the sedimentary basin under Los Angeles, for an earthquake on the San Andreas fault (probably San Bernadino segment, but I forget). The motions were much worse than expected at the low frequencies that affect tall buildings the most. So, could be some bad things from a relatively distant quake, just so long as it is a big quake (probably bigger than 7.5). This scenario quake would be (much?) closer to LA than Landers was. Chris


Follow Ups:
     ● not quite - John Vidale  18:11:26 - 4/18/2004  (21553)  (1)
        ● Re: not quite - chris in suburbia  08:46:03 - 4/19/2004  (21559)  (1)
           ● there was some prior work - John Vidale  10:42:10 - 4/19/2004  (21560)  (1)
              ● Re: there was some prior work - Cathryn  22:20:39 - 4/22/2004  (21583)  (1)
                 ● Sylmar quake - John Vidale  22:11:00 - 4/23/2004  (21594)  (1)
                    ● Re: Sylmar quake - Cathryn  13:59:42 - 4/24/2004  (21611)  (1)
                       ● SM mountains - John Vidale  09:01:59 - 4/26/2004  (21623)  (0)