Don, yes, that is a good link for everyone on this board to read. I've said a few times that I have no more credentials than anyone else to predict earthquakes, and those few (4 in 3 years) that I have done (3 wrong, 1 not very significant) were for kicks. In other words, just because I am a research scientist, I should not be taken seriously in this field-but I have casually observed earthquake occurrence in California since 1988. The Mid/east North American prediction was based on a series of quakes a few months or a year ago that occurred within a week or so of each other during a period of magentic storminess, and that the Au Sable Adirondacks M5 was during the middle of an extended period of high Kp (magnetic storm). The East African prediction was because in 1989 and 1990, the #2 and #3 flares on Roger's list were followed 4 days later by quakes >6 in East Africa, and a series of 7s in 1990(?) in Sudan were during a period of active sun-X class flares-but as far as I can tell not 4 days after. However, after I looked at Roger's list I realized nothing happened after the 2001 X20 flare (and I was watching flares and quakes on this board at the time), and nothing much happened in East Africa over M5 for most of the rest of the list of 25 largest flares. What we really need to look at is whether there is a link between the largest geomagnetic storms and quakes. The X28 the other day and apparently the X20 in 2001 both had coronal mass ejections directed away from the earth, and were not associated with large magentic storms. The X17 and following X11 a week or so ago were associated with long lasting major to Extreme storms, but earthquake activity at or just after that time does not jump out at me....

On the other hand, I do know a lot about faults and folds and should be taken seriously there. Chris