I don't mean this to sound harsh, but predicting a 5.0 for Indonesia is kinda like shooting fish in a barrel or forecasting a 3.0 for southern california.

They happen nearly daily in both areas..(OK - so not daily, but what avg every 3 days ?) - So to say that for Indonesia for a 7 day period doesn't get too many people to sit up and take notice.

Maybe Alan Jones can help me here and take a look at the posting #1906 and come up with some statistics like he did for Dennis's predictions ? it appears that you have choosen the most active places for quakes and your magnitudes are such that you should get many hits.

It is a good hit though. -In looking at a number of quakes in 'Indonesia' - the Longitude range seems to be rather broad - from 103E to 139E or so - that's quite a large area. (at least 2000 miles across ?) - maybe next time you can define your indonesian area ?

And where is this:
Explorer plate N. V. isle 3-4 75% 4-5 40% 6-8 eventually at 50% next 3 months.

Canie