An earthquake or two for people to try to locate
Posted by EQF on May 03, 2003 at 10:48:26:

People occasionally post notes here to see how well others can do with determining where the next noticeably strong earthquake is likely to occur. Here is a chance for interested parties to see if they can tell where one or more fairly significant earthquakes will occur. I will provide what data I can. At the moment I myself do not know when or where they will occur. But I expect that they will eventually be reported in the news and plan to try to let people know when that has happened.

Three precursor signals were detected shortly after that destructive May 1, 2003 earthquake occurred in Turkey. I find that something like that happens quite often. My first analysis points to an occurrence time for one of the earthquakes around the end of the first week in May. However, the research data charts at my Web sites show that occurrence times can be delayed for months as that May 1 Turkey earthquake was.

See:

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/131.html

My initial location analyses have not yet identified any particularly good locations for the earthquake.

As I said, three signals were detected. And based on past experiences that suggests to me that they could be pointing to three different approaching earthquakes. However even if that is the case I would expect that only one or perhaps two of them would be significant enough to be reported in the news.

The following are my data for the signals. In many cases the data for the top signal will match the same type data for the earthquake itself as happened with that Turkey earthquake. That is one of the ways that I determine that the earthquake has occurred. In other cases the top signal will match those types of data for some past earthquake which occurred at the same location.

03/05/01 B 45 46 13 90 46 7 9 1 45 43 -5 406513 15N 137E 11N 134E 12N 135E 12N 135E
03/05/01 B 36 37 4 81 37 7 9 1 36 34 -6 406509 15N 146E 11N 143E 12N 144E 12N 144E
03/05/01 C 24 25 81 69 24 7 9 1 23 21 -6 406503 15N 159E 10N 155E 12N 156E 12N 157E

Some previous data like that will be stored on the following Web page as soon as I can upload the necessary file. That might take another day or so. At the same time I will also be updating my 131.html page with some Solid Earth Tide data for that Turkey earthquake.

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/133.html

Assume that the earthquake could occur anywhere on the planet. And once again, this is just an experiment to see if anyone can determine what the correct location for it will be. I am going to do some additional analyses myself but will not be spending too much time on this effort as this is not presently expected to be a really major earthquake.

Follow Ups:
     ● One of those expected earthquakes might now have occurred - EQF  12:03:59 - 5/5/2003  (18594)  (0)
     ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Don in Hollister  20:41:41 - 5/3/2003  (18576)  (1)
        ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - EQF  09:15:56 - 5/4/2003  (18583)  (3)
           ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Roger Hunter  17:37:03 - 5/5/2003  (18597)  (1)
              ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - EQF  20:50:02 - 5/5/2003  (18599)  (1)
                 ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Don in Hollister  01:23:38 - 5/6/2003  (18600)  (0)
           ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Don in Hollister  21:16:52 - 5/4/2003  (18587)  (0)
           ● Re: A Fools Paradise - Petra Challus  12:10:48 - 5/4/2003  (18585)  (0)