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Evidence that some powerful earthquakes are triggered events? |
The following is much of the text of a report which I just posted to a number of Internet Newsgroups including sci.geo.earthquakes. This is a continuation of a previous thread. A reason for starting a new thread is so that Canie can archive older posts if she wishes without this one disappearing right away. Data for earthquakes having a 7.0 or greater magnitude for the years 1990 to the present were obtained from a U.S. government Web site. Some of the most interesting from that group of several hundred were the 17 which were listed as having an 8.0 and greater magnitude. I used a sun and moon location data generation program to determine what longitude lines the sun and moon were directly above when those earthquakes occurred. Those data are shown in the following table along with the earthquake date and the number farthest on the right which shows how many degrees (in increasing order) the sun was to the east or to the west of the moon in the sky at that time. Column 1 - Earthquake date 1994/06/09 8.2 172E 168E 4E ANALYSIS Those were all of the 8.0 and greater magnitude earthquakes which I was able to find listed at that Web site for the years 1990 to the present. The full sun - moon longitude difference range would be 360 degrees. Yet 10 of the 17 earthquakes, more than half occurred when that longitude difference range had values between 40E and 35W, a range of only 75 degrees. So, roughly 59% of the earthquakes occurred within just 21% of the full longitude range. CONCLUSIONS (1) I believe that those data provide some fairly good evidence that earthquakes are not all random events. Certain forces or phenomena are at times influencing the times when they occur. (2) In my first report in this thread I proposed that my data were indicating to me that the time when the sun, moon, and Earth are in a direct line with one another can be fairly important for earthquake triggering. And I believe that the data in this report demonstrate that the probability is fairly high that this is the case. Follow Ups: ● those numbers work well - John Vidale 07:49:27 - 3/23/2003 (18325) (1) ● really 3 out of 1000 - John Vidale 11:47:23 - 3/23/2003 (18326) (1) ● Re: really 3 out of 1000 - EQF 07:26:46 - 3/24/2003 (18327) (0) ● Re: Evidence that some powerful earthquakes are triggered events? - Petra 00:04:10 - 3/22/2003 (18320) (0) ● better - John Vidale 22:43:51 - 3/21/2003 (18318) (1) ● Re: better - EQF 02:16:57 - 3/23/2003 (18323) (1) ● Re: better or worse - Petra Challus 05:37:05 - 3/23/2003 (18324) (0) ● Re: Evidence that some powerful earthquakes are triggered events? - Don in Hollister 20:47:59 - 3/20/2003 (18311) (0) |
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