Re: A note to Mitch Battros
Posted by Don in Hollister on January 05, 2003 at 11:20:52:

Hi EQF. Since you won’t, or can’t make a prediction of an impending quake, before the quake occurs I guess were just going to have to wait and see which country does and what method they use.

No creditable scientist is going to use a program until they have put it to the test. It has to be repeated over and over again by them as well as others. It will have to be shown that the predictions are greater then they would be by random chance.

You say you have a program that does this, but then you say that other counties should develop their own programs. Why not just give them yours and show them how to use it. I’m sure they would appreciate it.

From all of the geophysicists, seismologist, geologist and astronomers I know I haven’t found one yet who will say your method works without first seeing the proof of it. To many times in the past there have been people who have made the same claims your making, but were never able to prove it to the point that it was acceptable.

Even the VAN method, which was developed in Greece and has been proven to be successful in some cases isn’t being accepted in Greece because it has never been shown to be better then random chance.

Japan has poured millions of dollars into their prediction program, but have yet to make one single successful prediction and that includes the Kobe quake. Did your data show this quake was about to occur and if it did why wasn’t it used to predict some of the other major quakes in Japan that have occurred after the Kobe quake? I’m sure they would love to know when the impending Tokai quake is going to occur. Thousands of lives would be saved if they knew.

This of course is just my personal opinion. Take Care…Don in creepy town


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - EQF  12:56:49 - 1/5/2003  (17716)  (1)
        ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - Don in Hollister  13:15:21 - 1/5/2003  (17717)  (1)
           ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - Don in Hollister  14:02:15 - 1/5/2003  (17718)  (2)
              ● South America earthquake - EQF  10:23:50 - 1/7/2003  (17733)  (0)
              ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - EQF  19:41:39 - 1/5/2003  (17719)  (1)
                 ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - Don in Hollister  20:31:15 - 1/5/2003  (17720)  (1)
                    ● Re: A note to Mitch Battros - EQF  23:14:53 - 1/5/2003  (17721)  (1)
                       ● Re: quake forecasting - Canie  07:54:22 - 1/6/2003  (17725)  (2)
                          ● Re: quake forecasting - EQF  10:11:49 - 1/7/2003  (17732)  (1)
                             ● Re: quake forecasting - Canie  16:25:17 - 1/7/2003  (17740)  (1)
                                ● Quake forecasting on daily basis! - R.Shanmugasundaram  16:20:24 - 1/9/2003  (17763)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Quake forecasting on daily basis! - EQF  17:45:16 - 1/9/2003  (17766)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Quake forecasting on daily basis! - R.Shanmugasundaram  14:49:01 - 1/10/2003  (17774)  (0)
                          ● Re: quake forecasting - R.Shanmugasundaram  17:52:27 - 1/6/2003  (17730)  (0)