Roger,
I know my evaluations of Don's forecasts have sometimes been on the rosy side, this
Is an attempt to encourage him in an effort which looks like it might be fruitful.
So, instead of doing this evaluation myself, I would request a probability evaluation on this event
And forecast that Don published here several days ago.

The event was this afternoon:

O: 02APR2002 09:31:58 38.432N 122.651W ML=2.4 E of Santa Rosa, CA

The forecast was for an event with parameters:

F: 01APR2002 +/-2 day 38.5N 122.6W Ml 2.0-3.0 Santa Rosa CA (within 35 km)

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13877.html

Thanks