Hi all;

Well, I said this was a learning process.

Fortunately Lowell has an eagle eye.

Current results are:

1 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -118 4.5 9.9 30 Prob. 0%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.

None found.

2 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -116.5 5 9.9 40 Prob. .436%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.

None found.

3 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 37.8 -118.7 2 3.5 50 Prob. 99.1%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
2002/03/19 14:28:23.21 38.0452 -118.7860 28.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/19 20:36:58.47 38.0415 -118.7855 2.06 27.9 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/19 23:59:28.70 38.0777 -118.9577 2.15 38.2 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 07:41:39.29 38.0727 -118.1928 2.00 53.8 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 07:58:47.16 38.0710 -118.2050 2.06 52.8 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 08:03:06.07 38.0708 -118.1917 1.78 53.7 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 09:20:19.67 38.0417 -118.7870 2.28 27.9 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 19:27:57.00 38.6500 -119.5500 2.80 120.1 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 19:47:00.90 38.6467 -119.5463 2.48 119.6 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 19:55:01.17 38.6433 -119.5535 2.64 119.7 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 01:22:20.08 38.6962 -119.6507 2.13 129.6 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 11:33:52.00 37.6308 -118.8700 1.83 24.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 14:57:42.63 37.5765 -119.8760 2.57 106.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/22 03:30:53.60 38.0525 -118.2142 51.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/22 16:14:36.60 37.5358 -118.4387 1.73 37.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/22 23:15:17.61 37.4558 -118.8532 40.5 Prob. 100%
2002/03/22 23:15:24.45 37.4682 -118.8473 39.1 Prob. 100%
2002/03/24 22:49:32.42 37.3722 -118.3788 1.81 55.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/25 11:03:32.64 37.6133 -118.8040 1.85 22.7 Prob. 100%

Best date 2002/03/22 03:30:53.60 38.0525 -118.2142 0
Best dist 2002/03/25 11:03:32.64 37.6133 -118.8040 1.85 22.667354
Best size 2002/03/20 19:27:57.00 38.6500 -119.5500 2.80 2.8
Best prob 2002/03/19 20:36:58.47 38.0415 -118.7855 2.06 Prob. 99.1%

4 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.6 -117.9 2 4 50 Prob. 55.8%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
2002/03/18 02:51:54.38 33.4862 -116.4882 1.75 131.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 05:54:17.01 33.1102 -116.4238 1.83 147.4 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6665 2.19 33.1 Prob. 55.8%
2002/03/18 21:19:37.14 34.1047 -116.9200 1.72 106.4 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 21:29:38.24 33.9782 -118.3667 1.70 60.2 Prob. 95.1%
2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 30.1 Prob. 55.8%
2002/03/19 06:10:15.83 33.4843 -116.4570 1.70 134.2 Prob. 100%
2002/03/19 08:46:19.26 33.8697 -117.8515 1.81 30.3 Prob. 79.4%
2002/03/19 19:11:50.90 33.9572 -118.7387 1.94 87.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 02:54:07.12 33.8915 -116.9918 1.74 89.9 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 03:04:10.63 34.1475 -116.4252 1.70 149.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 17:49:57.74 33.6622 -119.3050 2.51 130.2 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 01:13:52.76 34.0253 -117.2588 1.72 75.7 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 02:44:55.60 34.3020 -119.2757 2.15 148.8 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 03:42:09.93 34.0007 -117.1618 2.88 81.4 Prob. 96.0%
2002/03/21 17:26:52.62 33.6088 -119.3760 2.57 136.6 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 43.5 Prob. 55.8%

Best date 2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 0
Best dist 2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 30.135516
Best size 2002/03/21 03:42:09.93 34.0007 -117.1618 2.88 2.88
Best prob 2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6665 2.19 Prob. 55.8%

5 . Don
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /22 39.4 -121.2 1.7 3 35 Prob. 4.91%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 30.4 Prob. 7.92%
2002/03/25 02:52:49.85 39.4192 -122.0290 1.79 71.2 Prob. 92.1%
2002/03/25 07:47:46.45 40.2890 -121.4672 1.81 101.4 Prob. 99.1%

Best date 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 1.5
Best dist 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 30.361551
Best size 2002/03/25 07:47:46.45 40.2890 -121.4672 1.81 1.81
Best prob 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 Prob. 7.92%

6 . Don
2002/3 /21 - 2002/3 /25 46.3 13.1 3 4.5 65 Prob. 12.2%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.

None found.

7 . Petra
2002/3 /20 - 2002/3 /24 36.02 -120.9 2 3.3 40 Prob. 31.6%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
2002/03/20 04:06:52.33 36.6388 -121.0995 2.16 71.0 Prob. 81.6%
2002/03/21 01:17:09.52 36.5122 -121.0935 2.68 57.4 Prob. 66.6%
2002/03/21 04:34:52.05 36.8642 -121.5920 2.00 112.3 Prob. 95.3%
2002/03/21 05:29:01.05 36.8643 -121.5925 2.36 112.4 Prob. 95.3%
2002/03/21 06:40:25.45 36.5127 -121.0933 1.87 57.4 Prob. 87.9%
2002/03/22 01:48:24.09 36.6265 -121.2297 1.99 73.6 Prob. 96.7%
2002/03/23 01:44:09.86 36.9490 -120.2698 2.20 117.6 Prob. 96.9%
2002/03/23 12:16:39.23 36.7027 -121.3418 1.89 85.5 Prob. 98.0%
2002/03/24 21:12:16.52 36.7777 -121.5053 2.78 100.1 Prob. 93.4%

Best date 2002/03/22 01:48:24.09 36.6265 -121.2297 1.99 .5
Best dist 2002/03/21 01:17:09.52 36.5122 -121.0935 2.68 57.364738
Best size 2002/03/24 21:12:16.52 36.7777 -121.5053 2.78 2.78
Best prob 2002/03/21 01:17:09.52 36.5122 -121.0935 2.68 Prob. 66.6%

Based on these results the (hopefully) correct lead is held by Don with a 7.9% probable hit.

I apologise to all for my fumbling around, but if you think this is easy....

Roger