Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes
Posted by Lowell on November 05, 2001 at 21:55:39:

Well, Don did it again!!
The three earthquakes in the Coalinga area tonight occurred according
to NCSN with the following parameters:

O: 6NOV2001 4:38:36 36.2N 120.3W ML=2.7 NCSN NNE of Coalinga, CA
O: 6NOV2001 3:54:51 36.2N 120.3W ML=2.4 NCSN NE of Coalinga, CA
O: 6NOV2001 3:54:13 36.2N 120.3W ML=2.8 NCSN NNE of Coalinga, CA

Don's third forecast (Post # 10623 posted on November 2, 2001)
for Coalinga (the first two had grade "A" Quality) was
for an event of Ml 2.1-3.3 with 40 km of 36.1N 120.2W between Nov. 6 and 10.
Since these events occur within about 15 km of Don's predicted
epicenter, are within the time window and magnitude range, once
again it appears that Don get grade "A" on this forecast.
I posted statistics for the area earlier which indicate about
one chance of five of having a success with such a prediction.
Also, above, I posted information to the effect that these may have
been directly related to CME which hit the earth within a minute or two
of the time of these earthquakes.
In view of the relation to the CME, I think it is especially noteworthy
that Don mentioned in his forecast the possible increase in magnitude
or early occurrence of the event in case of a geomagnetic storm.
Once again, good going, Don. I wish I could do as well.

Don's Complete forecast had read:

Coalinga, California Earthquake Forecast

Coalinga, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on November 02, 2001 at 14:42:36:

Magnitude: 2.1 to 3.3
From: 11/06/2001PDT - To: 11/10/2001PDT
Location: Coalinga, California
Lat: 36.1N - Long: 120.2W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. I'm looking for a 2.1 to 3.3 quake at 36.1N/120.2W. This is about
10Km SE of Coalinga, California. It should occur on 11/08/2001. The window
opens on 11/06/2001 and will close on 11/10/2001. The radius on this will
be 40Km.

In the event of a geomagnetic storm one, or two days before the forecasted
date the quake could occur early, or be 0.5 magnitude higher.

In the past couple of years there has been an increase in quake activity in
this area, which is about 39Km SE of the 1983 Coalinga 6.7 quake. Not sure
if they are aftershocks, or quakes in there own right. Take Care..
Don in creepy town


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Cathryn  23:06:27 - 11/5/2001  (10735)  (0)
     ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Don In Hollister  22:32:11 - 11/5/2001  (10732)  (1)
        ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Lowell  01:26:53 - 11/6/2001  (10737)  (1)
           ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Don In Hollister  01:42:23 - 11/6/2001  (10739)  (1)
              ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Lowell  01:44:23 - 11/6/2001  (10740)  (1)
                 ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction and tonight's Coalinga earthquakes - Don In Hollister  02:04:59 - 11/6/2001  (10741)  (0)
     ● Re: Don's Coalinga prediction - The Kicker??? - Petra Challus  22:29:40 - 11/5/2001  (10731)  (0)