Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A
Posted by Lowell on August 23, 2001 at 07:22:31:

Well Don,
That is the quickest response you have had from the earth to
one of your predictions, again WELL Done!!

Last night Don posted the following prediction:

Indian Wells, Calif. Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on August 22, 2001 at 19:03:13:

Magnitude: 2.8-2.9Md
From: 08/23/2001PDT - To: 08/28/2001PDT
Location: Indian Wells, Calif.
Lat: 35.7N - Long: 117.8W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. Just so no one thinks I have forgotten Southern California here is a
forecast for you. There should be a 2.8 to a 3.9Md on 08/25/2001 at
35.7N/117.8W with a 40Km radius. This is about 5 miles NE of Indian Wells.
The window opens 08/23/2001 and closes on 08/28/2001.
Take Care...Don in creepy town

This morning the following earthquake and aftershocks occurred:

ML= 3.1 2001/08/23 04:25:39 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 2.6 2001/08/23 04:55:51 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 2.6 2001/08/23 04:52:50 36.0N 117.8W ENE of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.1 2001/08/23 06:45:55 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 0.8 2001/08/23 05:14:41 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.0 2001/08/23 05:08:54 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.5 2001/08/23 05:02:24 36.0N 117.8W ESE of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.5 2001/08/23 04:51:52 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.1 2001/08/23 04:48:37 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.4 2001/08/23 04:33:22 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 0.8 2001/08/23 04:16:47 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.2 2001/08/23 04:14:28 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.9 2001/08/23 04:11:48 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA
ML= 1.9 2001/08/23 03:59:34 36.0N 117.8W E of Coso Junction, CA

This is a rather unexpected reactivation of the Coso Junction swarm
which occurred last month. The last event in this region with
Ml>3 occurred on July 31. The area has been relatively quiet
throughout the month of August.

Don's predicted epicenter was within the 40 km range set (37 km
from the mainshock), and the event occurred within the time window and
magnitude range of Don's prediction. As such all parameters were
accurately predicted.

Score a grade A for Don on this one, Petra and don't forget to
add some desert to that chicken dinner. By the way, whenever
that happens we would like all the juicy details.

For quake listing see:

http://quake.usgs.gov/recenteqs/Quakes/quakes0.html



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A - Roger Hunter  18:34:32 - 8/23/2001  (9046)  (0)
     ● Re: Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A - Canie  08:01:28 - 8/23/2001  (9025)  (1)
        ● Re: Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A - Canie  08:05:43 - 8/23/2001  (9026)  (1)
           ● Re: Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A - Lowell  09:57:34 - 8/23/2001  (9030)  (0)
     ● Re: Don's Indian Wells forecast quake didn't make us wait - grade A - Petra Challus  07:51:33 - 8/23/2001  (9023)  (0)