Dennis, on the Reasonberg/Jones forumula, yes it predicts decreasing events with time as you'd expect. I think it is supposed to apply to all size events. However, it is just for Southern California so it is risky to use it for other locations.

Yes, I have a new e-mail address. I still have my one at the University (jones@sunquakes.geol.binghamton.edu) but accessing from home on my new Road Runner (cable modem) is more convienent.

And, as for your prediction, I'll watch for one in your range that is NOT in the Hector Mines aftershock region.

Again, thanks for your clean predictions. Yours are the only ones I can evaluate since the others I've seen are more just feelings. If you do see someone else making a clean prediction and I miss it, please point it out to me.

Regards,

Alan