Posted by EQF on August 25, 2012

This Earthquake Warning has been downgraded to an Earthquake Advisory.

Recommendation: Earthquake forecasters around the world should still take a close look a their local precursor data to see if a powerful earthquake might be headed in their direction. But instead of a 7.5 magnitude one as expected it might have only a 6.5 magnitude.

That downgrade means that seismic activity is still expected. But it presently appears that it might not be as powerful as it could have been. And, the numerous EM Signals detected were probably pointing to more than one earthquake.

The change in status results from my review of volcano activity during the past few weeks. I stated in the original post that I would be doing that before making a final decision on the status of the Earthquake Warning.

The Tungurahua volcano in Ecuador at 78 W has been and still is quite active. And I suspect that it might have provided some of the original energy needed for those EM Signals to be generated. Rock Layers in the volcano area might have also been involved with the actual generation of some of the signals.

What is somewhat surprising to me is that none of my forecast charts have any strong line peaks at 78 W. That might be because I don't have a large number of records in my database files for powerful earthquakes at that longitude.

So, if some city does not disappear into the Earth during the next few days then that will mean that with practice, I am getting gradually better at determining which of these EM Signals are indicators that immediate action needs to be taken, and which ones are pointing to only fairly powerful approaching earthquakes that might be a month away, instead of highly destructive ones that are only days away!

The devastating January 26, 2001 earthquake in India was one of the earthquakes that was not even days away. It occurred within 24 hours of the time a sizeable group of strong EM Signals was detected. And my telephone conversations with U.N. disaster mitigation personnel between the time that the signals were detected and when the earthquake occurred, and my circulation of a global E-mail warning after those conversations, were the proper and timely things to do with regards to that approaching catastrophe.

Perhaps some lives were saved because disaster mitigation personnel were warned ahead of time that they should be watching for a destructive earthquake to occur somewhere on the planet. So, when that one did occur, they might have already been getting ready to respond to it.

Finally, if there is some seismic activity that does match my EM Signals, and even if there is not, this latest group of EM Signals should be fairly important because of the nature of most of the signals.

Many of the low intensity signals detected in connection with this expected seismic activity have been Ear Tones. Numerous tones have been detected almost every day for most of a week. And I cannot recall that ever happening before. However, the Earthquake Warning (now an Advisory) was based on high intensity signals and not on Ear Tones.

In any case, the nature of the expected activity should shed some additional light on what Ear Tones actually represent.

These are personal opinions.