Re: Biggest earthquake in No. France/So. Britain in 11 years
Posted by Roger Musson on June 09, 2001 at 09:53:02:

It isn't amazing in the slightest. It's like predicting a magnitude 2 in New York and getting a magnitude 5 in Quebec. Totally different in scale and location.

Or to try and put in a different perspective: if I predicted "a small mammal" was going to appear in my street tomorrow (with every expectation of seeing a cat), and instead an elephant escaped from a circus the other side of town, would you say I'd made an "amazing call" then?


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Biggest earthquake in No. France/So. Britain in 11 years - Cathryn  12:33:11 - 6/9/2001  (7898)  (2)
        ● Re: Biggest earthquake in No. France/So. Britain in 11 years - Roger Musson  08:37:01 - 6/11/2001  (7922)  (0)
        ● Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - Lowell  13:35:24 - 6/9/2001  (7899)  (2)
           ● Re: Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - dib  20:42:16 - 6/10/2001  (7917)  (1)
              ● Re: Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - Lowell  21:10:11 - 6/10/2001  (7919)  (1)
                 ● Re: Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - Roger Hunter  07:46:49 - 6/11/2001  (7920)  (0)
           ● Re: Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - Cathryn  16:00:25 - 6/9/2001  (7901)  (1)
              ● Re: Difficulty in Evaluating what was meant in predictions - lowell  16:46:36 - 6/9/2001  (7902)  (0)