Re: A little heart sick
Posted by EQF on June 14, 2010 at 10:58:33:

Cathryn,

The following is just my opinion on this subject. But I am talking with so many top earthquake researchers around the world that this opinion should be worth considering.

There are so many people around the planet generating forecasting data at this time that it would be almost impossible for any one person to keep track of them all. And no one that I know of is even interested in doing that.

As a result, it is up to each individual to keep track of his or her hits and misses. And it is up to him or her to let other people know about them. That is the only way that anyone can tell if a person is having any success.

So, if a significant earthquake occurs and someone believes that his or her forecasting procedure was able to detect its approach then it is important that he or she say something about that even if it is after the earthquake has occurred. Then people can ask for additional information such as what forecasting methods was used etc. At the moment I don’t know what method you used for that Mexico earthquake and I would be interested in hearing what it was.

Somewhat along those lines,

If you look that the sci.geo.earthquakes Internet Newsgroup you will see an Earthquake Advisory that I myself posted there on June 6, 2010 plus an evaluation of the forecast. The recent powerful Nicobar Islands earthquakes looks like it is the one that I was expecting.

A number of advisories and updates were sent to researchers around the world. And I saw some other researcher’s forecasts for around that time as well. I intended to post a warning to this bulletin board but was just too busy and felt that the sci.geo.earthquakes advisory would be adequate.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: A little heart sick - Cathryn   19:44:03 - 6/16/2010  (77249)  (2)
        ● Re: A little heart sick - Skywise  13:53:53 - 6/17/2010  (77259)  (1)
           ● Re: A little heart sick - Roger Hunter  15:11:22 - 6/17/2010  (77262)  (0)
        ● Re: A little heart sick - Roger Hunter  06:39:45 - 6/17/2010  (77258)  (0)