Re: Magnitudes
Posted by Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande on March 20, 2009 at 07:19:35:

Additionally, it should be determined in advance what period of time after a quake which fulfills time and location parameters has its magnitude assigned.

As we all know, it is often days, weeks or even months before a "final" figure is determined. The early adjustments are sometimes rather large. This additional step (re-examining magnitudes later) might be applied only to prediction series which appear to be successful.

Which brings up a point I'm not sure has been discussed. How many fulfilled predictions should be required before a prediction series is deemed successful?

Mike W.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Magnitudes - Michael Tolchard  12:39:40 - 3/20/2009  (74974)  (0)
     ● Re: Magnitudes - Roger Hunter - CO  10:00:26 - 3/20/2009  (74973)  (0)
     ● magnitude and test for significance - John Vidale  07:53:12 - 3/20/2009  (74971)  (1)
        ● Re: magnitude and test for significance - Michael Tolchard  12:55:45 - 3/20/2009  (74977)  (1)
           ● Re: magnitude and test for significance - Michael Tolchard  13:00:05 - 3/20/2009  (74978)  (1)
              ● some standards - John Vidale  16:56:58 - 3/20/2009  (74980)  (0)