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| Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction |
Michael; Works for me. See my rules for evaluation thread below. The probability has nothing to do with success. It's used to calculate significance. Most predictors are concerned with hits. But Brian got 92% hits and it means nothing. It's possible to get a hit every time and not beat chance. Roger Follow Ups: ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 21:07:13 - 3/14/2009 (74900) (2) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Michael Tolchard 00:24:41 - 3/15/2009 (74903) (1) ● Fixing a typo ... - Michael Tolchard 00:26:04 - 3/15/2009 (74904) (0) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Roger Hunter 21:53:35 - 3/14/2009 (74902) (1) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 06:46:52 - 3/15/2009 (74905) (1) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Roger Hunter 07:38:43 - 3/15/2009 (74906) (1) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 14:28:25 - 3/15/2009 (74910) (2) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Michael Tolchard 20:45:33 - 3/15/2009 (74921) (0) ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Roger Hunter 16:33:05 - 3/15/2009 (74911) (0) |
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