Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction
Posted by Roger Hunter on March 15, 2009 at 07:38:43:

Mike;

I evaluate what's given.

If the predictor wants a mag range, that's what I look for. A quake outside the range is a miss. Naturally, that causes howls of outrage at times.

Why should mag be treated any different than date or location? Both of those have ranges. Some (like JOB) want archery target rings for partial credit and that's fine too as long as they're specified in advance.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  14:28:25 - 3/15/2009  (74910)  (2)
        ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Michael Tolchard  20:45:33 - 3/15/2009  (74921)  (0)
        ● Re: Formal Definition of a Scientifically Meaningful Prediction - Roger Hunter  16:33:05 - 3/15/2009  (74911)  (0)