Luke (and all), I've pretty much left your predictions alone, and it is good to have a few people predicting on this page.

>>> Hey Chris !

The question is whether lack of challenge of your predictions here might be taken by some as endorsement of them.

>>> My forecast have been getting better over the past 2 and 1/2 years ...

But, your maps and predictions just are not interesting to me because you do not state what they are based on,

>>> Chris ... please check the research page on my site at; http://www.quakeprediction.com/Earthquake%20Research.html

and because it is probably impossible or nearly so to evaluate your maps (Roger, feel free to chime in). I rarely look at your UTube reports in part because of this and in part because I'm very cautious about internet security

>>> youtube is a very safe site ...

(never, never hook up your laptop to a Turkish internet cafe!. Lots of Turkish spam now).

>>> Thanks for the info ...

For your more specific predictions like the one above, it seems to me (in an unscientific way, meaning it is my impression and not based on statistics) that your results have been worse than chance.

>>> I agree Chris ... in the past my predictions were worse than chance ... however ... since February 2008 ... 100% of the quakes above 4.1 have occured within my "very high risk areas" ....

As others have commented here (Canie?), you will sooner or later have a larger quake that falls into one of your high risk zones.

>>> Since February ... 100% of the quakes above 4.1 have occured within my "very high risk areas" ....

I encourage you to make prediction-related posts now and then that are science based;

>>> Isn't "Science" .... the study of ... I've been researching earthquake prediction since 2005 now ....

which fault zones you consider hazardous and why, and why the hazard should be time-dependent.

>>> The quake that hit Northridge was on a previously unknown fault ... That's why I choose to focus on what my data is telling me ... Most of my data comes from thermal temperature changes in California.....

Thanks Chris !
Luke

• Earthquake prediction for San Francisco and Los Angeles