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FFA's ----Not Predictable |
Howdy. I didn't just get off a slow boat from somewhere. I've studied some of this earthquake stuff for many years. It is my opinion that there is no way to predict where a far field aftershock will occur. Too many variables in the geologic structure of the various fault zones, and little or no understanding of how teleseismic events can unlock a fault into failure. Do FFA's happen? Yep. What I am saying is that there is no way to know WHERE they will happen. I guess the best way to think about it is how many 8+ magnitude quakes have happened since the SAF ruptured----1906---San Fran? And how many more will occur before Coachella Segment goes? Nobody knows. Kinda like swatting a swarm of house flies with a cane rod. Sooner or later you are going to hit one. And then take credit for a hit? The number of quakes will always overwhelm the predictors. The quakes just keep coming, predicted or not. It's a big planet, and it doesn't behave. No use in spanking house flies. Glen Follow Ups: ● Re: FFA's ----Not Predictable - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 06:19:16 - 6/10/2008 (74024) (1) ● Re: FFA's ----Not Predictable - Glen 23:27:56 - 6/12/2008 (74032) (1) ● Re: FFA's ----Not Predictable - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 06:10:18 - 6/13/2008 (74034) (1) ● Fires/camping O/T - heartland chris 09:32:17 - 6/18/2008 (74046) (2) ● Re: Fires/camping O/T - Canie 14:30:43 - 6/19/2008 (74062) (0) ● Re: Fires/camping O/T - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 15:39:06 - 6/18/2008 (74053) (0) |
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