Re: 99.7% chance big quake will hit CA in 30 years
Posted by heartland chris on April 14, 2008 at 19:00:34:

there has to be an error in that: you don't combine 97% and 93% and get 99.7 percent. It would be more like 98%. OK, I'm quibbling.
Chris

New calculations reveal there is a 99.7 percent chance a magnitude 6.7 quake or larger will hit the Golden State in the next 30 years. The odds of such an event are higher in Southern California than Northern California, 97 percent versus 93 percent.


Follow Ups:
     ● looks right - John Vidale  20:27:31 - 4/14/2008  (73676)  (2)
        ● Re: looks right-OK, I was wrong - heartland chris  05:11:36 - 4/17/2008  (73685)  (0)
        ● Re: looks right - Glen  20:36:40 - 4/14/2008  (73677)  (1)
           ● 6.7 is not that big - John Vidale  22:23:16 - 4/14/2008  (73679)  (1)
              ● Re: 6.7 is not that big - Todd  00:11:56 - 4/15/2008  (73680)  (1)
                 ● SoCal != urban quake - John Vidale  10:02:54 - 4/15/2008  (73682)  (1)
                    ● landers damage - heartland chris  12:45:40 - 4/15/2008  (73684)  (0)