Re: successful predictive method
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 22, 2001 at 12:30:34:

Hi Dib;

Yes, I've checked. He gets 133 hits with 188 windows, each of which has an observed probability of 39.9% or a simple probability based on window size of 8.6%.

No way can that be chance.

I swore if he tested 6.5+ quakes instead of 7+ quakes the significance would drop off. Instead, it went up to the results I just quoted.

I still can't believe it, but I wrote the test program myself.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: successful predictive method - dib  15:05:14 - 4/22/2001  (6934)  (2)
        ● Re: successful predictive method - Roger Hunter  17:12:14 - 4/22/2001  (6936)  (0)
        ● Re: successful predictive method - Roger Hunter  17:08:05 - 4/22/2001  (6935)  (1)
           ● Re: successful predictive method - Roger Musson  03:11:21 - 4/24/2001  (6959)  (1)
              ● Re: successful predictive method - Roger Hunter  04:45:22 - 4/24/2001  (6960)  (1)
                 ● Missing link - Roger Hunter  04:48:50 - 4/24/2001  (6961)  (0)