Purto Rico and earthquakes
Posted by Barbara on February 08, 2007 at 08:50:18:

This concerns me since I am flying to Puerto Rico next week for my son's wedding. I'll be there for 10 days and I've read that Puerto Rico is due for a large earthquake. They had a 7.5M earthquake there in October 1918, which also caused a tsunami.

And then I read the following on wikipedia (search: earthquake prediction)-- I will be in Puerto Rico from Feb 16-26, right in the optimum time period (according to this article) for a major earthquake somewhere in the world -- probably won't be little PR though.

From wikipedia: Historically, 60% of major earthquakes (magnitude 7 or greater) occur during the 14% of the year when the tidal forces are near their maximum. For maximum tidal force, three factors must coincide: First, when the moon (in its elliptical orbit) is closest to the earth; second, when it is within a day or two of a new moon (so that the tidal forces of the moon and sun are acting in concert); and third, when the earth (in its elliptical orbit) is at or near its closest distance to the sun.

In 2007, these dates are January 19-23, February 16-20, and March 17-21. We should expect that during at least two of these three time periods a major earthquake, possibly accompanied by a major volcanic eruption, will occur. April 15-19 and May 14-18 also are susceptible periods for major earthquakes in 2007, although the earth has by that time moved further from the sun.

(Note: This section on Tidal Forces was first submitted to Wikipedia on January 16, 2007. There already has been confirmation of the first predicted tidal-related major earthquake: the U.S. Geological Survey reports that on January 22, 2007 there was a magnitude 7.3 earthquake in northeastern Indonesia.)

Barbara


Follow Ups:
     ● Comment on accuracy - Roger Hunter  18:47:14 - 2/10/2007  (62709)  (1)
        ● Re: Comment on accuracy - Cathryn  07:10:32 - 2/12/2007  (62737)  (0)
     ● Puerto Rico question - Barbara  17:38:23 - 2/10/2007  (62704)  (1)
        ● Re: Puerto Rico question - heartland chris  09:04:14 - 2/12/2007  (62742)  (0)
     ● Re: Purto Rico and earthquakes - Skywise  23:11:01 - 2/8/2007  (62673)  (0)
     ● Re: Purto Rico and earthquakes - heartland chris  17:29:38 - 2/8/2007  (62663)  (1)
        ● Axial Volcano - Glen  05:46:23 - 2/9/2007  (62679)  (1)
           ● source - Barbara  07:11:51 - 2/9/2007  (62680)  (3)
              ● A quick look.... - Roger Hunter  21:21:00 - 2/9/2007  (62689)  (2)
                 ● Re: A quick look.... - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  13:19:02 - 2/13/2007  (62758)  (1)
                    ● Re: A quick look.... - Barbara  04:07:40 - 2/14/2007  (62768)  (0)
                 ● Re: A quick look.... - Cathryn  11:54:24 - 2/10/2007  (62693)  (0)
              ● don't change your vacation plans - John Vidale  19:06:49 - 2/9/2007  (62687)  (0)
              ● Re: source: need Vidale again - heartland chris  18:27:04 - 2/9/2007  (62686)  (0)
     ● Re: Purto Rico and earthquakes - Beth  13:03:33 - 2/8/2007  (62659)  (0)