Magnitude: 6+
From: 12/15/06 1830 Pacific - To: 06/15/07 1830 Pacific
Location: El Centro
Lat: 32.800N - Long: 115.750W - Range: 50 km

Hello,

I saw some things I thought were abnormal. I combined the creep rates with areal recurrence and give it a try. Few predictions are made here. Hope this is a bit more entertaining. It will take 6 months to know.

Centerpoint---- 32.800N, 115.750W
Range----50 Km Circular
Magnitude----6.0 Mw +
Quake will be felt ++++
Depth---- 6 Km to 15 Km
Mechanism----Strike Slip--Possible non NW
Time Window----12/15/06 1830 PST to 06/15/07 1830 PST

Pick # 1 -- Laguna Salada Fault
Pick # 2 -- Imperial Fault
Pick # 3 -- Superstition Mountain

More info and input at Earthwatchers link;

http://earthboppin.net/talkshop/geology/messages/28793.html

Amg

Hello,

The complex of micro swarms around Ocotillo is rather interesting. Two of these swarms are the most active since 1973. Also, the depths on these latest quakes are right at the boundary between the Salton Trough infill and the metamorphic basement complex. Most all of the quakes are running at between 0.5 Km and about 6.0 Km. Some are a bit deeper, but they are loitering around the infill interface. Also of interest is the conglomerate at Anza south of the seismic gap. These quakes are hitting at nominal depths around 14 Km. Further south, near Borrego, the quakes are striking a bit deeper at 15 and 16 Km, again, nominal depth.

South Anza is a 2D problem, and happens from time to time. The Ocotillo micros are rare. As I go over some more data, my mind tells me to put up a forecast for Ocotillo. So I will. 6+ within 6 months. Can't ignore these. Also Brawley has hit from 5.9 to 15.0 Km. More fuel in the fire. Something is coming, south. I'll have more. A part of the data below. Link is the map. Also there has been a major creep episode on the Superstitian Hills Fault. Adding things up.

Ocotillo # 1 --Plaster City is north of Ocotillo. These are the most energetic and temporally spaced quakes in the PDE file.

PDE-Q 2006 11 29 121735.54 32.82 -115.97 3 3.80 MLPAS .F . ....... 2
PDE-Q 2006 11 29 211055 32.81 -115.98 0 4.00 MLPAS .. . ....... 1
PDE-Q 2006 12 05 194025.95 32.82 -115.98 1 3.10 MLECX .. . ....... 1

Ocotillo # 2 Jacumba is also very energetic, and temporally active;

PDE-W 2006 07 24 020141 32.71 -116.06 6 2.90 MLECX .F . ....... 0
PDE-W 2006 08 09 080746 32.72 -116.06 3 2.90 MLECX .F . ....... 1
PDE-W 2006 08 10 183619.76 32.70 -116.05 7 2.80 MLPAS .F . ....... 0
PDE-W 2006 09 05 152258.59 32.70 -116.06 5 3.20 MLECX .. . ....... 0
PDE-W 2006 09 14 001106.08 32.71 -116.06 5 4.00 MLPAS 2F . ....... 0
PDE-W 2006 09 14 012514.63 32.70 -116.06 9 3.60 MLPAS .. . ....... 0
PDE-Q 2006 11 03 155643.05 32.67 -116.05 13 4.60 MLECX 4F M ....... 3
PDE-Q 2006 11 03 161213.31 32.70 -116.06 9 3.60 MLPAS .. . ....... 0
PDE-Q 2006 11 03 201918.26 32.70 -116.06 7 3.40 MLECX .. . ....... 0
PDE-Q 2006 11 04 191955 32.69 -116.07 9 2.90 MLECX .. . ....... 1

Ocotillo # 3-- Laguna Salada is very active, but a larger swarm occured in 1988.

PDE 1997 06 13 111618.78 32.60 -115.87 13 3.40 MLPAS .. . ....... 6
PDE 2002 02 21 182725.70 32.56 -115.78 5 3.60 MDECX .. . ....... 3
PDE 2003 02 19 030949.05 32.50 -115.75 3 2.90 MLPAS .. . ....... 8
PDE 2004 07 09 044345.82 32.51 -115.74 5 3.70 MLPAS .. . ....... 9
PDE 2004 07 09 050249.58 32.53 -115.75 7 3.30 MLPAS .. . ....... 7
PDE 2004 07 09 063005.43 32.53 -115.75 3 3.10 MLPAS .. . ....... 7
PDE 2004 07 09 121127.32 32.52 -115.75 4 3.00 MLPAS .. . ....... 7
PDE 2005 01 27 212558.61 32.58 -115.72 3 2.80 MLPAS .. . ....... 9
PDE 2005 08 29 133559.52 32.56 -115.81 11 2.80 MLPAS .. . ....... 1
PDE-W 2006 04 13 190628.60 32.63 -115.82 6 3.50 MLECX .. . ....... 7