Re: El Centro Area
Posted by Glen on December 16, 2006 at 20:23:04:

Chris,

I copy most of the predictions I make. Also they are in the archive here at Earthwaves. Which brings me to another issue here. All of my predicts are 100%,
in that I don't believe in putting percentage certainty on them. If I make the prediction, it is hit or miss, period. I do have a lot of close misses, from which I learn the most. I have placed more parameters on my predictions than anybody else. As such,

The quake must be felt
Location within 50 Km
Window of time must hit
Magnitude within 1 on either side
Depth of the quake within 10 Km
Basic mechanism
****Scientifically derived data, which can be seen by anybody on the internet

Also fault info should be given, and a basic thumbnail sketch about why the quake is going to happen. I still make predictions on other forums that are global or unclear. But my best efforts are made here. This is the only forum where specified predictions can be made.

By the way, there was a small group of quakes around San Fernando. My pattern worked. Except---way too late and the mags were way too low!

Glen