Hello,

I still have not seen a single shred of evidence anywhere that somebody predicted the Kurils great quake. I hate to have to beat this thing to death, but really, what do these people think they are doing? How can somebody take credit for predicting something that happens deep underground on an active subduction zone? My biggest problem with predictors is that they do not name the fault structure until after the quake. Do they keep an asperity in the fault plane (which is ready to slip) a secret, until after the event? Lots of help that is.

Seems to me that some people on the various forums can't get a grip on the 4D problem of honest earthquake prediction. I think many of them simply look at a map, and decide where the next one will hit. They look at epicenters as the only factual inference of an earthquake. Nothing could be further from the truth. Why? Because earthquakes happen at depth. I want geological information from a predictor from here on out. I want to know about the mechanics of the fault. And at least a modicum of earthquake history about the location. (lat lons necessary).

Glens Earthquake Prediction Postulate = Give me depth, or save your breath.

Enough hocus pocus already...

Glen