Hello Chris,

I can understand the concept of triggered earthquakes. And it is a fully plausible theory, so long as somebody gives sufficient evidence for it. What I am really pointing out is the "loiter scam". This involves predictions made for any fault structure and no particulars of past quake activity are given. No scientically gathered info on the fault is given. No depths are given. No linear progression of events that be could construed as precursory are given. Just slap up a geographical region where somebody thinks an earthquake will occur.

Two ways the "loiter scam" works.

Know the hit rate for a particular area. Make the prediction long enough so there is a high chance for a hit. Easy. I've done it for Alaska.

Repredict quakes in areas that historically hit during a global macro pattern. In other words, one way to loiter predictions is revisitation. Just wait a couple months and my prediction LOOKS new. All along I know there is hit rate for that area. Do it enough, you get the hit and crow about it. It's all flat map work. Not that hard.

The loiter scam does not work in Hawaii. Or Utah. Sure does not work for the New Madrid. Or Nepal. Or the Atlas Mountains in Lybia. Works like a dream for Alaska, Tonga, PNG, Sumatra and the Kurils. Doesn't work for the coming 7+ in Tokyo Bay either.

Glen