Re: The Earthwaves Prediction Award
Posted by Roger Hunter on November 13, 2006 at 20:07:48:

Mike;

There are a number of conditions that must be met.

Predictions must not overlap in time or space, otherwise a quake might satisfy more than one.

Predictions must not be sequentially identical, otherwise you have a window which never closes.

Many tight predictions for large quakes are a problem because missing low probability predictions does little to the cumulative score while hitting one makes a BIG impression.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: The Earthwaves Prediction Award - Skywise  23:43:51 - 11/13/2006  (60188)  (1)
        ● Re: The Earthwaves Prediction Award - Roger Hunter  05:49:02 - 11/14/2006  (60202)  (0)
     ● How big an area, how much time? - Glen  20:33:46 - 11/13/2006  (60182)  (0)