Hi Roger. Thanks for your response.

If you can calculate probability of earthquakes so easily, it seems you should also be able to predict them then. This would probably be a lot more work, but may be more worthwhile than using subjective criteria to judge predictions.

It must be true, if you can calculate probability, you could actually calculate the most probable area, magnitude and time for an earthquake, right? That might be a good way to test your probability program and if it works, maybe even make sucessful predictions that are helpful. (of course we would have to discredit your predictions for being so probable though - joking)

Can this be done?