Canie:

You may very well be right, predictors may not ready for prime time. For the life of me, I don't know haw Martin, Dennis, or others will ever be ready to test out their theories if they don't keep track of their track records and know how they are doing against random chance.

I see prediction history as a tool to future success, but others seem to see it as a threat for come reason. Maybe they don't understand random chance. Maybe they are scared to look in the mirror. I just don't know.

Let me know if I should continue or stop ...

Michael