Re: Sure you were not just lucky?
Posted by R.Shanmugasundaram on June 11, 2006 at 23:59:12:

Glen,

Recently expert from Gujarat asked me the same question and myself evaluated my prediction for about 6 months period strictly.
I got a success rate of 62% only. So where is the remaining 38% gone? I analysed myself and got the answer. Because of the lack
of similar observatory situated in the right direction, I always give additional locations where I expect quakes. Suppose if I
compare the precursor obtained from such observatory then I could have removed the additional location so that the percentage
of sucess rate will automatically increase.

Just for information and thank you for your appreciation.

Shan


Follow Ups:
     ● OK. One more Q, if you don't mind - Glen  01:37:24 - 6/12/2006  (38213)  (2)
        ● Re: OK. One more Q, if you don't mind - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  06:04:57 - 6/12/2006  (38219)  (1)
           ● Correction - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  06:10:59 - 6/12/2006  (38220)  (0)
        ● Re: OK. One more Q, if you don't mind - R.Shanmugasundaram  03:16:27 - 6/12/2006  (38216)  (1)
           ● Shan, see if I understand correctly - Roger Hunter  07:10:42 - 6/12/2006  (38223)  (2)
              ● Re: Shan, see if I understand correctly - Cathryn  14:09:14 - 6/12/2006  (38230)  (1)
                 ● Re: Shan, see if I understand correctly - Roger Hunter  16:09:08 - 6/12/2006  (38235)  (1)
                    ● Re: Shan, see if I understand correctly - Cathryn  16:22:37 - 6/12/2006  (38236)  (1)
                       ● Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  21:42:29 - 6/12/2006  (38244)  (1)
                          ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  22:26:57 - 6/12/2006  (38245)  (2)
                             ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  00:17:18 - 6/13/2006  (38251)  (2)
                                ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  00:44:46 - 6/13/2006  (38254)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  07:02:11 - 6/13/2006  (38261)  (0)
                                ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  00:23:19 - 6/13/2006  (38252)  (1)
                                   ● Ah. (NT) - Cathryn  00:43:54 - 6/13/2006  (38253)  (0)
                             ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  00:07:06 - 6/13/2006  (38249)  (1)
                                ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  00:53:42 - 6/13/2006  (38256)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  01:12:06 - 6/13/2006  (38257)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  13:27:10 - 6/13/2006  (38275)  (0)
              ● I understand correctly - R.Shanmugasundaram  09:27:41 - 6/12/2006  (38226)  (0)