Petra, Roger...If Musson has an evaluation method, and is willing to do it, and Roger has all of Don's predictions in a format that makes them easy to evaluate, then it sounds like an independent evaluation would be worthwhile. But, it may not be worth his time to evaluate a prediction record based on methods that are secret. Also...I would guess that Tom Jordan gets so much email that he cannot keep up with it. There are some scientists that I work with who simply do not answer most email. There is a certain logic to not answering email....
Chris