Petra...you may want to start a new thread where you start off by saying what you expect, if you establish a successful prediction record. Then, we can discuss if this is likely to happen/ how it might happen. As I've said a few times, I think you have to establish the prediction record first...your relatively few predictions on this page, some "interesting", some not, are not enough IMHO to be taken seriously by the people you seem to want to take them seriously.
Chris