Is within time window
Posted by chris in suburbia on March 28, 2005 at 14:32:07:

John....Shan said "may occur within 48 to 180 hours from 04:30 UTC on 21st March 2005". The quake occurred at 16:09:36 UTC March 28.
180 hours=180/24=7.50 days or 7 days 12 hours. That would bring the end of the window to March 28 16:30 UTC. So, within the window with over 20 minutes to spare. It would not make any difference to me if it missed by 20 minutes, however.

Yes, it missed on location, but I don't think Shan claims to be that precise...
Chris

Follow Ups:
     ● my mistake - John Vidale  14:54:48 - 3/28/2005  (25392)  (1)
        ● Let's Give Credit Where Credit is Due - Petra  17:56:43 - 3/28/2005  (25408)  (1)
           ● mine was a pre-emptive post - John Vidale  18:32:13 - 3/28/2005  (25410)  (1)
              ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Cathryn  19:53:53 - 3/28/2005  (25412)  (2)
                 ● not an aftershock - John Vidale  20:27:32 - 3/28/2005  (25414)  (1)
                    ● Re: not an aftershock - Cathryn  23:46:58 - 3/28/2005  (25418)  (1)
                       ● distance, not aftershock, no tsunami - chris in suburbia  04:01:15 - 3/29/2005  (25420)  (1)
                          ● Re: distance, not aftershock, no tsunami - Canie  08:15:57 - 3/29/2005  (25424)  (1)
                             ● flat thrust, no tsunami - chris in suburbia  08:37:39 - 3/29/2005  (25425)  (1)
                                ● no really up on this - John Vidale  21:35:29 - 3/29/2005  (25448)  (0)
                 ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Petra  20:03:35 - 3/28/2005  (25413)  (1)
                    ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Cathryn  23:48:03 - 3/28/2005  (25419)  (0)