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Todd...While there has not been anything major since 1989, I don't think anyone thinks the bay area is going to stay quiet for decades...Don posted on this here in the past. Also, there was a paper published in 1995 (Dolan et al) that, I think (have not read this in a while) said that either there needed to be a Northridge-sized earthquake in the LA region (or was it southern California?) every 10 years....but later papers, again I think, questioned this analysis. Anyway, I would guess that most seismologists would not expect southern California to be quiet for decades. But, I'm not a seismologist, so I guess it would help for John to clarify this.... Follow Ups: ● LA quake risks - John Vidale 09:24:22 - 9/9/2004 (22808) (1) ● Not Confusing Enough - Don in Hollister 12:03:16 - 9/9/2004 (22809) (2) ● Re: Not Confusing Enough - Todd 13:36:07 - 9/9/2004 (22812) (1) ● Re: Not Confusing Enough - chris in suburbia 14:47:02 - 9/9/2004 (22816) (0) ● stress shadows - John Vidale 12:53:14 - 9/9/2004 (22810) (1) ● Re: stress shadows - Don in Hollister 13:13:57 - 9/9/2004 (22811) (0) |
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