reference?
Posted by John Vidale on February 04, 2004 at 21:21:22:

Where is their methodology described in a journal article? 1997 is 7 years ago, plenty of time for them to have written a short paper. Surely you're not going to rely only on a second-hand report in a newspaper when China has several geophysical journals. Also, technically, they missed in predicting a 7 to 7.5, which did not occur, and the later 6's were outside their 6 day window.

But still the performance as described is impressive. Unfortunately, most prediction work in China, such as the LURR's pattern, has not proven reproducible.

John


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: reference? - Don in Hollister  21:59:01 - 2/4/2004  (21204)  (2)
        ● Re: reference? - EQF  23:38:03 - 2/4/2004  (21207)  (1)
           ● Re: reference? - Don in Hollister  01:37:47 - 2/5/2004  (21209)  (1)
              ● China earthquake forecasting programs - EQF  08:25:35 - 2/6/2004  (21213)  (1)
                 ● Re: China earthquake forecasting programs - Don in Hollister  18:16:59 - 2/6/2004  (21217)  (0)
        ● plausible - John Vidale  22:51:26 - 2/4/2004  (21205)  (0)