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Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate |
Don, I have repeatedly explained in detail how my data can be used to generate earthquake forecasts. It largely involves comparing precursor numbers with similar numbers for past earthquakes. However, I have also said that I myself use specially developed data processing programs to compare those numbers. I have said that I am considering posting those data to my Web site using a different format which provides some indication of the probability that an earthquake will occur at this or that location. And I have said that it could take another six months for me to get all of the necessary computer programs etc. organized so that data can be displayed like that. The note that I just posted basically asked if anyone wanted to get a discussion going regarding where an easily verified earthquake might occur. As I have said, it can take me several days of work to generate possible location data for an expected earthquake. And I cannot afford to spend that much time on such an effort unless I suspect that the earthquake is going to be catastrophic. And at the moment that is not the case with the signals I detected on May 1. The feedback that I am getting from people who are familiar with the technology is that my new Web site charts such as that one for the year 2003 are easy to understand and use. I would like to say more about them but am waiting until I have one more stored at my Web site. It will contain data for the years 1990 to the present. Here are some things that you can see right now from that 2003.html chart: What I have found is that if an earthquake does not occur within a week of the time that I detect some precursor signals, it is likely to then occur some multiple of about 7 days from the time the signals were detected. But I could never really understand why that is the case. Those new data charts show fairly clearly why those time relationships exist. Certain earthquake triggering forces occur in cycles which are multiples of roughly 7 days. And those time cycles do not all match one another. For example, the moon gravity strength cycle does not match the sun – Earth – moon angle cycle. If someone says that he or she thinks that an 8 magnitude earthquake is about to occur then you can look at that 2003 chart and get at least some idea regarding when it is likely to occur. 10 of the 17 earthquakes in that magnitude range that I studied occurred when the sun and moon were relatively close to one another in the sky. What that means is that an approaching earthquake in that magnitude range will be most likely to occur when the 4th wave from the top of the chart is at a wave crest position. And the dates on the chart make it easy to tell when those crests are occurring. Follow Ups: ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Roger Hunter 17:37:03 - 5/5/2003 (18597) (1) ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - EQF 20:50:02 - 5/5/2003 (18599) (1) ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Don in Hollister 01:23:38 - 5/6/2003 (18600) (0) ● Re: An earthquake or two for people to try to locate - Don in Hollister 21:16:52 - 5/4/2003 (18587) (0) ● Re: A Fools Paradise - Petra Challus 12:10:48 - 5/4/2003 (18585) (0) |
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