John, Your name sounded familiar and you sounded like you know what you are talking about, so I looked for John Vidale on Google and came up with a professor at UCLA-is that you? I'm semi-anonymous on this page because my status as a researcher is pretty tenuous and I don't want to be seen out-of-context in some of the stuff here. I'm an amateur concerning earthquake prediction-its just an interest or a hobby, but I map faults and try and figure out how they are moving for a living (or, a partial living). I work on southern California offshore/coastal, Ross Sea, and trying to get going in Marmara Sea.......Chris