Evaluation
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 06, 2002 at 13:37:10:

hi Shan;

Here's what I can do with the currently available CNSS data.


1 R. Shan
2002/4 /3 - 2002/4 /8 36.19 69.13 4.5 9.9 100 Prob.6.22%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/21 21:58:12.54 36.5170 70.5620 4.50 133.2 17.7%
2002/03/22 02:02:13.42 37.4460 70.1560 4.90 166.7 28.5%
2002/03/25 14:56:33.43 36.0110 69.3710 6.10 29.4 6.22%
2002/03/25 15:10:41.83 36.0460 69.2340 4.60 18.5 6.22%
2002/03/25 15:20:03.09 36.1160 69.1320 4.80 8.2 6.22%
2002/03/25 15:46:00.03 35.9540 69.2700 5.10 29.1 6.22%
2002/03/25 17:49:38.96 35.9960 69.2310 4.90 23.4 6.22%
2002/03/25 21:45:04.77 35.9560 69.1960 4.90 26.7 6.22%
2002/03/26 00:55:20.15 36.0700 69.1970 4.90 14.6 6.22%
2002/03/26 06:54:12.88 36.0620 69.0850 4.40 14.8 14.7%
2002/03/26 16:54:19.55 35.9970 69.2150 4.90 22.8 6.22%
2002/03/27 05:57:38.50 35.9850 69.1500 4.50 22.8 6.22%
2002/03/27 08:52:51.90 35.9400 69.3120 5.60 32.2 6.22%
2002/03/27 09:41:03.90 36.1120 69.2410 4.60 13.2 6.22%
2002/03/27 11:53:14.13 36.1270 69.1530 4.60 7.3 6.22%
2002/03/27 13:19:40.61 36.0990 68.9700 4.50 17.6 6.22%
2002/03/27 20:04:46.77 40.6730 63.6270 4.50 690.7 65.5%
2002/03/31 21:23:07.13 36.1890 69.1310 4.50 .1 6.22%
2002/04/03 02:23:45.33 36.4960 70.7760 4.50 151.2 26.2%


Best date 2002/04/03 02:23:45.33 36.4960 70.7760 4.50 3
Best dist 2002/03/31 21:23:07.13 36.1890 69.1310 4.50 .14276932
Best size 2002/03/25 14:56:33.43 36.0110 69.3710 6.10 6.1
Best prob 2002/03/25 14:56:33.43 36.0110 69.3710 6.10 Prob. 6.22%


As you can see, the April 5th event isn't in there yet.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Evaluation - R.Shanmugasundaram  19:14:08 - 4/6/2002  (14705)  (1)
        ● Re: Evaluation - Roger Hunter  06:48:27 - 4/7/2002  (14707)  (1)
           ● Re: Evaluation - R.Shanmugasundaram  21:15:36 - 4/7/2002  (14717)  (1)
              ● Re: Evaluation - Roger Hunter  04:56:34 - 4/8/2002  (14720)  (0)