Evaluation - Problem!
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 01, 2002 at 11:26:37:

Lowell;

Here they are for direct comparison. I even did a fresh quake search.


1 Petra
2002/3 /23 - 2002/3 /29 40.28 -123.8 3.4 4.4 40 Prob. 0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km)
2002/03/23 08:14:02.02 39.7435 -120.6142 277.5 Prob. 71.6%
2002/03/25 15:36:56.27 37.1855 -122.1337 372.9 Prob. 80.0%
2002/03/25 19:51:23.59 37.1972 -122.0908 373.1 Prob. 80.0%
2002/03/26 11:12:33.64 37.5948 -122.4052 321.7 Prob. 77.7%
2002/03/27 03:52:56.14 40.3417 -125.8660 4.06 175.2 Prob. 31.8%
2002/03/27 07:21:31.01 37.8162 -121.9717 315.9 Prob. 77.3%
2002/03/27 07:22:35.94 37.8145 -121.9722 316.1 Prob. 77.7%
2002/03/27 08:39:20.76 37.8308 -121.9733 314.4 Prob. 77.3%
2002/03/28 02:17:02.78 39.2943 -122.8098 138.3 Prob. 47.5%
2002/03/28 11:56:17.97 39.6892 -120.0597 325.1 Prob. 77.7%
2002/03/29 19:41:57.46 38.7065 -119.7895 3.39 385.7 Prob. 80.8%


Best date 2002/03/26 11:12:33.64 37.5948 -122.4052 .5
Best dist 2002/03/28 02:17:02.78 39.2943 -122.8098 138.3415
Best size 2002/03/27 03:52:56.14 40.3417 -125.8660 4.06 4.06
Best prob 2002/03/27 03:52:56.14 40.3417 -125.8660 4.06 Prob. 31.8%


2 Don
2002/3 /22 - 2002/3 /26 42.3 -129.9 4 5 35 Prob. 0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.


None found.

Wonder what went wrong?

Event not in CNSS catalog it seems?

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● I've Got A Better Idea - Petra Challus  18:27:25 - 4/1/2002  (14471)  (1)
        ● Re: I've Got A Better Idea - Roger Hunter  18:44:21 - 4/1/2002  (14473)  (0)
     ● What about informal predictions - should they be evaluated? - Lowell  11:41:48 - 4/1/2002  (14448)  (1)
        ● Re: What about informal predictions - should they be evaluated? - Roger Hunter  12:00:07 - 4/1/2002  (14451)  (0)
     ● Re: Evaluation - Problem! - Lowell  11:33:09 - 4/1/2002  (14446)  (1)
        ● Re: Evaluation - Problem! - Roger Hunter  11:38:46 - 4/1/2002  (14447)  (1)
           ● Re: Evaluation - Problem! - Lowell  11:46:59 - 4/1/2002  (14449)  (1)
              ● Solution found - Roger Hunter  11:56:30 - 4/1/2002  (14450)  (0)