Results for small quake prediction
Posted by Roger Hunter on March 25, 2002 at 18:36:44:

Lowell;

Here's what happens if she had predicted "a quake" meaning one of any size:

1 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -118 0 9.9 30 Prob. 36.6%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6665 2.19 61.2 Prob. 96.9%
2002/03/18 21:29:38.24 33.9782 -118.3667 1.70 77.6 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 59.2 Prob. 94.3%
2002/03/19 08:46:19.26 33.8697 -117.8515 1.81 59.4 Prob. 94.3%
2002/03/20 06:11:28.22 33.7713 -117.5620 1.21 61.9 Prob. 96.9%
2002/03/20 08:39:36.20 33.9017 -117.7322 1.10 66.1 Prob. 97.3%
2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 72.8 Prob. 98.6%
2002/03/22 15:00:26.26 33.8032 -117.4227 1.51 73.4 Prob. 98.6%

Best date 2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 0
Best dist 2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 59.174472
Best size 2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 2.52
Best prob 2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 Prob. 94.3%

Quite a difference, eh?

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Lowell  20:04:13 - 3/25/2002  (14113)  (1)
        ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Roger Hunter  20:31:21 - 3/25/2002  (14115)  (1)
           ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Lowell  22:07:51 - 3/25/2002  (14123)  (0)