So how is it that by predicting (incorrectly) that a Ml >4 earthquake will occur
and using the same set of events, Canie instead of having a 94% probability
now has a 0 % probability even though the largest event that occurred was a
Ml 2.5? Doesn't make sense to me.
Does this mean that any prediction that predicts a large earthquake will always
be the best prediction, whether a large earthquake occurs or not?