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Contest update - problems |
Here are the latest results. The relative standings have not changed but the gap has narrowed a bit. But an interesting situation has come up. The "best-fitting" quake is not the least probable quake. I define "best fit" as closest to the midpoint of time and location and largest mag. within the outer time and space limits. In this case, a quake closer to the date center was found which has a higher probability than one further out. Now it seems to me that anything inside the predicted ranges is a hit for that parameter. Closer to center is an arbitrary choice on my part to make decisions easier. Does anyone wish to contest that choice? Should I find the least probable quake within the hits? Or would that be data selection too? What seems fair to you? Roger Follow Ups: ● Re: Contest update - problems - Lowell 14:58:20 - 3/23/2002 (14020) (2) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Roger Hunter 17:00:18 - 3/23/2002 (14028) (0) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Roger Hunter 16:47:45 - 3/23/2002 (14025) (1) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Lowell 17:09:58 - 3/23/2002 (14029) (1) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Roger Hunter 17:54:34 - 3/23/2002 (14030) (1) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Lowell 19:04:14 - 3/23/2002 (14032) (1) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Roger Hunter 19:13:03 - 3/23/2002 (14035) (2) ● agreed nt - Lowell 23:52:30 - 3/23/2002 (14042) (0) ● Postscript: all read - Roger Hunter 19:18:59 - 3/23/2002 (14036) (1) ● Re: Postscript: all read - Lowell 23:54:50 - 3/23/2002 (14043) (1) ● Re: Postscript: all read - Roger Hunter 05:23:34 - 3/24/2002 (14047) (1) ● Re: Postscript: all read - 2cents 11:52:48 - 3/24/2002 (14060) (1) ● Re: Postscript: all read - Roger Hunter 13:19:14 - 3/24/2002 (14063) (1) ● Re: Postscript: all read - 2cents 14:58:34 - 3/24/2002 (14068) (1) ● Thanks. n/t - Roger Hunter 15:34:45 - 3/24/2002 (14069) (0) ● Re: Contest update - problems - Petra Challus 14:34:20 - 3/23/2002 (14019) (0) |
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