Don's Huron, CA forecast and today's event.

On Feb. 28, Don in Hollister forecast an event of Ml 2-3 in the Huron, CA area from 4 - 8 March, 2002. This afternoon such an event occurred, slightly later than expected.

NCSN listed the following event tonight:

O: 09MAR2002 17:34:06 36.1N 120.2W ML=2.0 NW of Avenal, CA

Don's Forecast had been:

F: 06MAR2002 +/- 2days 36.1N 120.1W 2.0-3.2 Huron, CA (within 35 km)

While a few hours out of the expected window, the event occurred within 10 km of the expected epicenter
And within the expected magnitude range.

I should also note that Don provided a complete listing for this area earlier today to this board including
The following:

35.9 -120.4 3 10 2002 2.0-3.0 - about 1Km east of Parkfield

See:
http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13532.html

This event does fall within the 35 km range, magnitude window and time window. Another fully successful forecast, Don.

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13354.html

Huron, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on February 28, 2002 at 11:51:46:

Magnitude: 2.0-3.2Ml
From: 03/04/2002UTC - To: 03/08/2002UTC
Location: Huron, California
Lat: 36.1N - Long: 120.1W - Range: 35Km

Hi All. I'm back on dry land for now.

Looking for a 2.0 to 3.2 quake at 36.1N/120.1W. This is about 15Km south of Huron, California. Should occur on 03/06/2002. The window opens on 03/04/2002 and will close on 03/08/2002. The radius for this will be 35Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town

• Don's original Huron CA forecast