Difficulty in posting ( due to lack of time) under prediction
#13
(03-24-2014, 05:13 PM)Amit Wrote: Roger, what are the odds of getting five consecutive hits ( with both time and magnitude window as specified), by giving random dates?
Do you feel these are just flukes,or out of the hat predictions?
Amit

Amit, the odds on getting 5 hits on mag 6 quakes with 3 day windows is 0.000012.

The odds on winning the lottery are 1/287,000,000 but someone does it.

You've just found a bigger than usual cherry.

It's still the overall record that counts.

But if this winning streak continues, I may change my mind!

Roger




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RE: Difficulty in posting ( due to lack of time) under prediction - by Roger Hunter - 03-24-2014, 09:22 PM
Odds cannot be close to correct - by Island Chris - 03-27-2014, 10:27 PM

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