03-25-2014, 03:48 PM
(03-24-2014, 09:22 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(03-24-2014, 05:13 PM)Amit Wrote: Roger, what are the odds of getting five consecutive hits ( with both time and magnitude window as specified), by giving random dates?
Do you feel these are just flukes,or out of the hat predictions?
Amit
Amit, the odds on getting 5 hits on mag 6 quakes with 3 day windows is 0.000012.
The odds on winning the lottery are 1/287,000,000 but someone does it.
You've just found a bigger than usual cherry.
It's still the overall record that counts.
But if this winning streak continues, I may change my mind!
Roger
But why the one winning lottery should be me? Why not anybody else?
Amit
Roger