[Canie]

Back to reality - knowing a 6.5 quake will occur on a day somewhere in the world at some time is really worthless.. we already know quake of this size can occur anytime in the 'at risk' areas.

Canie

(03-17-2014, 04:12 AM)Roger Hunter Wrote: Amit;

Here's how I would score you for this month (so fsr)

1)28th Feb/1st March 2014......6.7 Miss

2)6/7th March .................6.4 Hit

3)12th March ..................6.4 Hit

4)16th March ..................6.5 Hit

5)24th March...................6.5 Not time

6)28th March...................6.3 Not time

So 3 out of 4 predictions were correct and the odds on a mag 6 quake in a 3 day window are about 10%. This puts you way above chance for this small sample, but that's no reason to fault USGS.

Your long term average is below chance and that's what matters.

Roger